Mateo’s Hoops Diary: Knicks Back to Their Sad Normal

Knickstape is dead. Everyday it gets clearer, what New York did last year was an outlier in their machine of everlasting mediocrity. As always, there’s not that many fingers to blame, but this time, the head coach is responsible for most of the friction.

 

For all of the Knicks personnel, it’s a good thing the All-Star break rolled around because now all the important figures can take this time to recalibrate and possibly look in the mirror.  Tensions must be high.  The last 11 days before their early spring break featured three losses after being up at least 20 points.  

 

The first meltdown came after New York had a 21-point advantage on Feb. 5 at Crypto.com Arena.  A week later in Portland, the Knicks took a loss, getting blitzed in the last 17 minutes of the game, dropping their 23-point lead in a 56-24 scoring run.  Then on Wednesday, the Knicks started their vacation early, giving up a difference of 28 points to the Nets in a defeat. 

 

That’s some coaching.  Judging by the body language of some of the players, it wouldn’t be a surprise if their instructor’s style and schemes were falling on deaf ears.  

 

By the looks of it, Thibs is not an easy dude to be around.  For those that haven’t seen him on the sidelines, whenever you inflict pain on your eyes catching Knicks ball, look for the guy pacing back and forth in front of the New York bench trying to break the record for most profanity spewed in 48 minutes.  It usually comes after a defensive breakdown or what Thibs perceives as a missed call by the refs. 

 

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Maybe the angry drill sergeant approach works when a club is winning at a high volume (other reasons for success should still be identified with this approach), but it sure doesn’t for this Knicks team.  Some could say it was successful for Thibs in his first season with the group (2021), but I would point back to that being a deviation from the norm in part because of how the roster is assembled.  

 

Thibodeau’s approach to coaching often involves yelling at his players in front of a packed house or demonstrably showing his displeasure by flailing his arms.  For example, late in the loss to the Nets on Wednesday, the Knicks left Seth Curry unattended in the right corner and failed to close out on his shot that converted in front of the Knicks bench.  Thibs could be seen waving his arms and verbally lashing out, close enough for his troops to hear as Curry slowly retreated.

 

Getting yelled at is verbally abusive and humiliating.  Thibs’ methods of verbal feedback are antiquated and likely a reason the Knicks look no different than what they did before they hired him.

 

Aside from being a grouch, ten years gone and still Thibs hasn’t learned from mistakes he made what seems like a lifetime ago.  It’ll be a decade this April since Derrick Rose blew out his knee in a game that was decided.  Then, when the current Knickerbockers (Thibs, Rose) repped the Bulls, Chicago was up 12 with 1:24 left in the game.  

 

If I’m not mistaken, in 2012, Rose didn’t play in 17 of the last 25 regular season games because he was nursing a groin injury. The last few nights the windy city assassin suited up for before missing almost a month, he was averaging 38 minutes.  

 

When Rose came back, it was for a game against the Knicks at MSG.  Thibs wasted no time scrapping a minutes restriction and played his reigning MVP just shy of 39 minutes in a one-point loss.

 

Twenty days later, in Game 1 of round 1 of Philadelphia-Chicago, Rose tore his ACL.  I’m not pretending to be a physician, or intending to say that heavy minutes caused the injury.  But I will say, it’s Thibs’ fault it happened.   Keeping a pivotal player on the floor during garbage time is sinful.  Rose paid the price for his coach and never got to where his career should have taken him.  

 

Then on Feb. 8, history repeated itself under Thibs’ watch in Denver.  With less than a minute to go in a match the Knicks had no chance of winning, RJ Barrett hurt his ankle stepping on Davon Reed’s foot.  Barrett limped off the court and missed the next four games.  He’s expected to be back after the week-long All-Star break, but his injury is another strike on Thibs’ rap sheet.

 

Life in the NBA comes at you fast.  Awards like coach of the year don’t guarantee job security.  The only thing that does temporarily is a consistent winning record.  So far, past the midway point of his second season in New York, Thibs’ record sits at 67-69.  Unless he wants to end up in the graveyard of the 12 other instructors the Knicks have had since canning Jeff Van Gundy, his outfit will at least have to make the play-in tournament.

Mateo’s Hoops Diary: Betting on the Beard

Over the weekend, James Harden touched down in Philadelphia, greeted by his leading enabler (Daryl Morey).   

 

Following the trade, Harden moved at a snail’s pace. He took all of the allowed 48 hours given to a swapped player before making his anticipated arrival in the city of brotherly love.  Clutch Points reported that he was in Houston “packing up” his belongings but that’s odd considering he played for Brooklyn.  It took him two days to get over to Philly so that he could complete his physical– meaning the trade was not officially complete, while missing a pair of games.

 

Perhaps he deserves some slack.  Harden missed the last few games as a Net with a hamstring injury, which according to coach Nash, was not serious enough for an MRI.

 

Surely, someone as resourceful as the Beard can arrange for his prized possessions to be handled with care in his absence. This leads me to speculate that his trip over to H-Town had more to do with adult extracurriculars than getting his home in order.  Maybe I’m wrong, but if the injury is as serious as reported, Hardy’s habitual night moves could potentially have serious implications.

 

Consumption of alcohol can raise an individual’s pain tolerance.  A hard night of clubbing could place unnecessary stress on the body, or worse, cause an accident that isn’t felt until later. Harden’s is no stranger to underworld excursions, evident by a banner hanging in his honor at Dreams strip club in Houston. 

 

Still, Harden got his wish.  At his introductory presser he revealed it was what he wanted all along.  Who could blame him?  Morey was fixated on getting Simmon’s out to Houston while Harden was still a Rocket, and who wouldn’t want to reunite with the boss that never held them accountable?  

 

As soon as Harden stepped off the charter, Morey figuratively gave him the keys to the castle.  The Beard won’t make his debut until after the All-Star break but while the 76ers await his recovery, that’s best cured by exotic dancers, Philly was clobbered at home by the Celtics by 48 on Tuesday.

 

Undeniably, the integration of the Beard into the lineup sharpens Philadelphia’s edge on offense in the halfcourt. Joel Embiid will have a pick and roll partner that forces the defender to go over the screen instead of tangling under with him.  Late in games, the 76ers won’t be plagued either playing 4-on-5 offensively because a defender cannot sag off Harden– for better or worse, he’s trigger happy from deep.  

 

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The pairing, strictly related to the court, should be a successful marriage.  Embiid and Harden are not perfect players.  If they could limit some of their bad habits, like Joel’s desire to take outside jumpers instead of assaulting the block, or the Beard’s overdribbling, then their biggest hurdle will be overcoming the burden that is coach Rivers.  

 

How long can it be before Harden and someone as petty and untrustworthy as Rivers are at each other’s throats?  Philly’s coach is a dude that reveals his real character whenever he feels some heat.  Last June, after the 76ers spoiled Game 7 at home, Rivers was asked if he thought Ben Simmons could be a point guard for a championship team.  All he could say was that he didn’t know the answer to the question.

 

If anyone deserves most of the blame for why Simmons wanted out, look no further than the head coach.  By not defending Ben when asked a tough question by a reporter, Rivers humiliated his player in front of the media in a recorded press conference.  Only a masochist would enjoy working for someone like that.  

 

Let’s take it back further to when Rivers coached the Orlando Magic.  Retired New York Post columnist and reporter Peter Vecsey explained on the Killin’ Me Smallz podcast, that behind the back of Darrell Armstrong, current assistant coach for the Dallas Mavericks since 2009, Judas, I mean Doc, approached Vecsey with material that he wanted to see printed.  Vecsey told him no way.  But if Doc got his wish, he would likely smile in Armstrong’s direction and pretend like he didn’t know where it came from.  

 

Aside from Rivers’ two facedness, when things go wrong on the court, the players are on their own.  Somehow, the man known for a lack of late game adjustments and recognized as the only instructor in NBA history to lead three teams that dropped a 3-1 advantage and took an L, was recently voted into the top 15 coaches of all-time list.  Throw in that record a few more defeats after being up 3-2 and another following a 2-0 lead.  

 

I’m just hoping the excuse for why this team didn’t win this year isn’t more time was needed for Embiid and Harden to mesh properly.

 

Mateo’s Hoops Diary: Portland Can’t do Anything Right

A few licks were hit on the Portland Trail Blazers in just six days.  The aftermath resulted in Tchaikovsky’s Chanson Triste echoing in the background of the wasteland Rip City created.  Portland’s latest maneuvers indicate that a rebuild of the roster is in effect.  Regrettably for them, management’s incompetence has royally screwed the team and fanbase.

 

Portland is fooling themselves if they think these transactions were a success.  The only positive is that it creates $50.5 million in cap space for Free Agency 2022, although they’ll have eight players on the books.  Even with all that spending money, it doesn’t mean anything if they can’t convince a difference maker to sign on.  Which could lead to a mammoth dilemma going forward.

 

What if Lillard asks out?  He’ll turn 32 on July 15, and I don’t believe he has the slightest inclination to start from scratch while he is still an elite player.  It could cost him individual recognition if the team performs poorly.  Voters are usually less willing to choose someone at the bottom of the conference to participate in the All-Star game or for a nod on the three All-NBA teams.  But most importantly, if Lillard sticks around, the hairs on his head might turn gray before he plays in another meaningful ball game in April-June.

 

Since #0 entered the NBA in 2012, he has been a role model and one the league’s best players. In his 10 years balling, he has ascended to the pantheon of great Trail Blazers with a spot next to Bill Walton and Clyde Drexler as the organization’s finest. And as recently as October, Lillard was voted into the NBA’s list of top 75 players ever.  

 

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Almost three years ago, Lillard said he’d rather keep trying in Portland and come up short than go somewhere for the opportunity.  It was bold and a reflection of Lillard’s character.  But sometimes people get to a point where they’ve had enough.  Those taken for granted, like Lillard, will not be denounced by my words when they have held up their part of the deal.  

 

It’s been widely reported that Lillard was unhappy with his team’s direction since before he participated in the Olympic games.  I would imagine he feels worse today because the execs handling the roster have fallen asleep at their desks.

 

I’m not a betting man, but if I were to indulge, I’d put my money on Lillard finishing his career in another uniform.  Perhaps he starts to worry about how his legacy stacks up in comparison to  his peers. Or maybe, he leaves because it’s not fun anymore.

 

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Mateo’s Hoop Diary: Look at Andrew Wiggins Now

In the NBA, sometimes the identity a player earned on the court follows him everywhere he goes despite it no longer being true.  This is a common practice among some fans and a minority of media members.  It usually takes a deep trip into the postseason for these groups to adjust to the news.  The latest pro baller to rewrite his narrative is Andrew Wiggins– starter on the Western Conference All-Star team.

 

Failing to reach expectations drives fans and hoops writers/pundits mad.  When a player is chosen #1 overall, the expectations of becoming a franchise rescuer are set on his shoulders.  Normally, it’s a young man who is just 19 years old.  Since 2000, there’s only been one collegiate senior to get picked first–Kenyon Martin.  He was 22.  Of the remaining 21 draft classes this millennium, one player was 21, three were 20, 13 were 19 and three were 18.

 

Going first comes with colossal responsibility.   There are times when the most coveted rookie hits the ground running.  On less occasions they don’t, and then comes the avalanche of verbal jabs about the athlete’s ability to last in the league.  What’s often forgotten about these young men is that they aren’t that far removed from being children.  Labeling someone as a bust is a serious indictment on their abilities and a franchise’s capability to evaluate talent.  It’s best to be absolutely sure before hurling that observation and it typically happens after three or four years.

 

Now that Wiggins has made his first All-Star team, is there anyone out there that still thinks he’s a bust?  His path to the NBA’s annual exhibition was not conventional, but for some time, Wiggins was a very good player floating under the radar because of one poor showing in his only playoff appearance.  There was also the part about Jimmy Butler demanding his way out of town because he didn’t want to play with the young Timberwolves anymore.

 

But before the 2020 trade deadline, the Golden State Warriors took a safe gamble by flipping D’Angelo Russell for Wiggins and the 2021 pick that the Dubs used to take Jonathan Kuminga.   I remember media chatter about the exchange praising the Timberwolves for receiving Russell and not having to give up their FRP for 2020.  I won’t name these jokers but one said it was more about the Warriors not liking Russell. Another babbled that it cost Golden State their opportunity to compete for titles. A third mentioned his doubts about Wiggins reviving his career.

 

That’s bold talk.  At his job, Wiggins scores over 19 a night and the last time I checked, the point of the game is to put the ball through nylon. In 42 games before being traded to Golden State, he was averaging more than 22 points per contest.  Keep in mind that in his final half season in Minnesota, there were only 84 players in the NBA scoring 15 or more per game.  That would place Wiggins in the top 19% of the league in that category, but he was no good because he hadn’t made an All-star team by year five.

 

Look at him now.  By my estimation, he’s the second best player on a contender  that’s 3.5 games away from the top record in the NBA.  Wiggins has also evolved in his time with the Dubs, maximizing his elite athleticism on the defensive end.  That perhaps is one of the most important reasons why the Warriors are dangerous.  He now takes on Klay Thompson’s former role guarding the opposing team’s first perimeter scorer.

 

Who Wiggins was three years ago on the court, is not the same man who is going to help the Splash Brothers and co. get back to where they once belonged.  

 

As James Brown sang, “Know what you see.  See a bad mother…”

 

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Mateo’s Hoops Diary: Purple & Mold in Los Angeles

The Lakers keep getting kicked while they are down from members of their past outfit.  James Worthy always keeps it real on the halftime broadcast, but now Magic Johnson, another Lakers legend emerged from the shadows with condemnation for the underachieving group.  He said the owner deserved better. 

 

It’s some impeccable timing.  Jeanie Buss deserved better than what Johnson gave her while serving as president of the Lakers from 2017-2019.  His behavior was a stark contrast to his TV persona of all smiles and giggles.  Behind the scenes, as ESPN’s Baxter Holmes reported, he was a bully who didn’t have the stones to tell his boss that his welcome was worn out, even after he rambled on to a dazed and confused press corps about their “amazing relationship.”

 

At building a team, Johnson was no good either.  When LeBron James arrived and made the Lakers relevant again, he incomprehensibly decided to construct a team around his star player that didn’t maximize his abilities.  Johnson said scrap the shooting, let’s put playmakers around the man who reluctantly finds someone he trusts with the ball.  

 

Then Pelinka was left as his successor.  He’s most responsible for the state the Fakeshow finds itself in.  Each year under his control the identity of the team has changed.  Heading into 2019/2020, LA loaded up with defensive role players plus the addition of Anthony Davis from New Orleans.  AD and Rich Paul held NOLA hostage and ultimately got their way, while the Pelicans, to this day, are fumbling with what’s left of that exchange. 

 

That Lakers team won it all.  Next, in their 71-day offseason, Pelinka altered the group’s core by letting go of the unit’s defensive role players for an offensive identity.  

 

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This past summer, Pelinka reached for the stars.  It cost the Lakers much of what was left of their championship DNA, trading for Russell Westbrook, who’s fit with James and co. has been suboptimal to this point. 

 

In the interest of transparency, I was one of those people who thought the Lakers were back in business after their swap but have recently sold as much stock on LA as possible.  Davis’ eventual return cannot save this team because he’s not an effective perimeter player.  The Lakers have spacing issues already in his absence and they even resorted to running James at center to help stretch the floor.  It was a gimmick that only worked on the bottom tier teams. 

 

Spacing is far from the team’s only issue.  Westbrook’s decision making as lead guard incessantly digs the Lakers in a hole they can’t climb out of.  Over LA’s last six games, #0 has made his last 25/87 attempts (28%) from the field. 

 

 In the loss on Jan. 12 at Sacramento, the Lakers went on a 10-4 run in the last five minutes to cut the deficit to four.  Then Westbrook came waltzing upcourt, readjusted on the left wing and hoisted a triple from 25 feet out that bricked.  On the next possession the Kings splashed their own 3-pointer, burying the Lakers, now done seven with less than a minute to go. 

 

A few nights later at Denver, the Lakers couldn’t hang with the Nuggets and all they had to show for themselves was a loss by 37 points and bowed heads.  It was their poorest showing of the season, less than a month after the group’s second worst defeat– an L at home to San Antonio by 28 points on Dec. 23.

 

On Monday, the Lakers delivered on James’ promise of improvement, holding the fourth-seeded Utah Jazz, a group 13 games above a .500 record, below 100 points.  The Stifle Tower made 6/8 shots in the restricted area and the Jazz converted 16/21 attempts total in that zone.  Utah’s undoing this night was their fiending for long range bombs.  Triples were 55% of their attempts, while they barely made over ¼ of their rounds fired from deep. 

 

 On Wednesday at home against the Indiana Pacers, Rick Carlisle’s group hammered away at LA’s interior.  Domantas Sabonis kept catching help when assaulting the interior on a mismatch and finding the open man– ending up with a triple-double, making 75% of his field goals.  Late in the game, Vogel benched Westbrook.  Russ kept slicing his way into the paint but falling short all but once in his 11 tries.  

 

Someone’s going to have to pay.  Unfairly, it might just be Vogel who gets the axe.  Reports from The Athletic said he was “coaching for his job” after the Denver smackdown.  This tells this mad observer that Pelinka is a man with close to zero basketball character.  How convenient for the man who builds the team for the coaching staff to use, to not have any heat on them from ownership, to my knowledge, for his performance improving the roster.

 

Vogel is not a perfect coach, but he does have a ring, won only 15 months ago.  If he is let go, good luck to Pelinka finding someone that’s going to trust him.  Championship coaches don’t grow on trees.

 

The 5RSN NBA All-Star Ballots: Who Makes it from Miami?

With the NBA All-Star game in Cleveland on February 20, many of the contributors at the Five Reasons Sports Network named the teams that they would like to see.

 

  1. Mateo Mayorga- Mateo’s Hoop Diary

 

East Starters: West Starters:
DeMar DeRozan Ja Morant
James Harden Stephen Curry
Kevin Durant  LeBron James
Giannis Antetokounmpo Nikola Jokić
Joel Embiid Rudy Gobert

 

East Reserves: West Reserves:
Trae Young  Devin Booker 
Zach LaVine  Chris Paul
Bradley Beal Donovan Mitchell
Jimmy Butler  Luka Dončić
Jarrett Allen  Andrew Wiggins 
Miles Bridges Paul George 
Khris Middleton Karl-Anthony Towns 

 

“Andrew Wiggins is the pick I’m most proud of.  He guards the opponents best perimeter player, while contributing close to 19 points a night.  Wiggins is option two on the team with the second best record in the NBA.”

 

  1. Sean Rochester- Co-Host of Halftime Pace and Spaces- @SRochesterNBA

 

East Starters: West Starters:
Trae Young  Ja Morant
DeMar DeRozan Stephen Curry
Kevin Durant LeBron James
Giannis Antetokounmpo Draymond Green
Joel Embiid Nikola Jokić

 

East Reserves: West Reserves:
Fred VanVleet Donovan Mitchell
Kyle Lowry Anthony Edwards
LaMelo Ball Devin Booker 
Jrue Holiday Luka Dončić
James Harden Chris Paul
Zach LaVine Paul George 
Duncan Robinson Rudy Gobert 

 

  1. Allana Tachauer- First Lady of 5RSN

 

East Starters: West Starters:
Trae Young Ja Morant
DeMar DeRozan Chris Paul
Jayson Tatum Carmelo Anthony
Kevin Durant LeBron James
Giannis Antetokounmpo Karl-Anthony Towns 

 

East Reserves: West Reserves:
Kyle Lowry Stephen Curry
Tyler Herro Luka Dončić
Zach LaVine  Russell Westbrook
LaMelo Ball Donovan Mitchell
Bradley Beal Devin Booker
Jimmy Butler Brandon Ingram
Bam Adebayo Deandre Ayton

 

  1. Brady Hawk- Lead Miami Heat Analyst for 5RSN

 

East Starters: West Starters:
Trae Young  Ja Morant 
DeMar DeRozan Stephen Curry
Kevin Durant  LeBron James 
Giannis Antetokounmpo Draymond Green 
Joel Embiid Nikola Jokić

 

East Reserves West Reserves
Zach LaVine  Chris Paul
James Harden Devin Booker 
Fred VanVleet Donovan Mitchell
LaMelo Ball Luka Dončić
Bradley Beal  Paul George 
Jimmy Butler  Karl-Anthony Towns 
Jarrett Allen  Rudy Gobert

 

  1. Greg Sylvander- Five on the Floor

 

East Starters: West Starters:
Jrue Holiday Ja Morant
DeMar DeRozan Stephen Curry
Kevin Durant  LeBron James
Giannis Antetokounmpo Draymond Green
Joel Embiid Nikola Jokić

 

East Reserves: West Starters:
Fred VanVleet Chris Paul
Tyler Herro Donovan Mitchell
Zach LaVine Devin Booker 
LaMelo Ball Luka Dončić
Jayson Tatum  Andrew Wiggins 
Jimmy Butler  Karl-Anthony Towns
Jarrett Allen Rudy Gobert

 

  1. Bryan Fonseca -1/2 of the Bahamarican Boys

 

East Starters: West Starters:
Fred VanVleet Ja Morant 
DeMar DeRozan Stephen Curry
Kevin Durant LeBron James 
Giannis Antetokounmpo Draymond Green
Joel Embiid Nikola Jokić

 

East Reserves: West Reserves:
Trae Young Chris Paul
James Harden Donovan Mitchell
Jaylen Brown Luka Dončić
Jrue Holiday  Devin Booker
Zach LaVine Paul George
Jimmy Butler Karl-Anthony Towns
Jarrett Allen Rudy Gobert

 

“Donovan Mitchell might get MVP talk if he was in a market we cared about, and if calculus majors didn’t overvalue his teammate.”

 

  1. Ricky J. Marc-  RJM Radio

 

East Starters: West Starters:
Trae Young  Stephen Curry 
DeMar DeRozan  Luka Dončić
Kevin Durant  Paul George 
Giannis Antetokounmpo LeBron James 
Joel Embiid Nikola Jokić

 

East Reserves: West Reserves:
Bradley Beal Chris Paul
Zach LaVine  Donovan Mitchell
James Harden Ja Morant 
Jaylen Brown Devin Booker 
Jayson Tatum  Russell Westbrook
Jimmy Butler Karl-Anthony Towns 
Domantas Sabonis  Rudy Gobert

 

  1. Alex Toledo- Five on the Floor

 

East Starters: West Starters:
James Harden Stephen Curry 
DeMar DeRozan Devin Booker 
Jimmy Butler Luka Dončić
Kevin Durant  LeBron James
Giannis Antetokounmpo Nikola Jokić

 

East Reserves: West Reserves:
Fred VanVleet Donovan Mitchell
Darius Garland Chris Paul
Zach LaVine  Ja Morant 
Bradley Beal Draymond Green
Jayson Tatum  Anthony Davis
Miles Bridges Karl-Anthony Towns 
Joel Embiid Rudy Gobert

 

  1. Timothy Bain- 1/2 of Bahamarican Boys

 

East Starters: West Starters:
James Harden Stephen Curry
DeMar DeRozan Luka Dončić
Kevin Durant  Paul George
Giannis Antetokounmpo LeBron James
Joel Embiid Nikola Jokić

 

East Reserves: West Reserves:
Darius Garland  Chris Paul
Fred VanVleet Ja Morant
Bradley Beal Devin Booker 
Jayson Tatum Andrew Wiggins
Miles Bridges Draymond Green
Jimmy Butler  Karl-Anthony Towns
Jarrett Allen Rudy Gobert

 

  1. Marco Romo – Writer for 5RSN and Host of Pace and Spaces

 

East Starters: West Starters:
Trae Young Ja Morant
DeMar DeRozan Stephen Curry
Kevin Durant LeBron James 
Giannis Antetokounmpo Draymond Green
Joel Embiid Nikola Jokić

 

East Reserves: West Reserves:
Fred VanVleet Chris Paul
Zach LaVine Donovan Mitchell
LaMelo Ball Devin Booker
James Harden Luka Dončić
Jaylen Brown Brandon Ingram
Jimmy Butler Karl-Anthony Towns
Domantas Sabonis  Rudy Gobert

 

“Harden’s having a ‘down year’ while averaging 22.4, 9.7 and 8.1.  Let’s not overthink this people.  Butler eventually gets in because the coaches/media will feel obligated for Heat representation even with the games missed.”

 

  1. Tony Schwartz- Host of In the Lane and Co-Host of Halftime Pace and Spaces

 

East Starters: West Starters:
DeMar DeRozan Ja Morant 
Zach LaVine Stephen Curry
Kevin Durant LeBron James 
Giannis Antetokounmpo Draymond Green
Joel Embiid Nikola Jokić

 

East Reserves: West Reserves:
Fred VanVleet  Chris Paul
Trae Young Donovan Mitchell
Darius Garland  Devin Booker
LaMelo Ball Luka Dončić
James Harden Anthony Davis
Jimmy Butler Karl-Anthony Towns
Jayson Tatum Rudy Gobert

 

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Duncan Robinson and his last shot to savage the season?

Duncan Robinson has really struggled this first half of the first of the five seasons he is signed for with the Miami Heat.

He’s struggling to get some shots in, and we’re struggling to understand what’s really going on and how he went from one of the most lethal shooters in the NBA to a less than average shooter in this season so far.

40 games in for him (The Heat has played 43), we can’t talk about a short slump anymore. We have to talk about a bad season!

But, wait a minute. Is Duncan Robinson’s season that far away from what he’s done in the past?

His general stats don’t really show that. Or at least, not to the extent that Heat Twitter, and most of our analysts in Five Reasons think.

After only two full seasons in the NBA with the Miami Heat, his numbers per game, in average, have only dropped a little bit. If you look at it in four or five years, you may not even notice it.

Yes, numbers don’t say everything, and I agree: Duncan Robinson is missing shots he was making in the past, and maybe just a bunch of good games helped him bump his averages up, but here’s the simple math (in a general scale):

Only taking into consideration his two full seasons (2019-20 and 2020-21), Duncan Robinson this season is averaging just two minutes less than his first full year, and less than four minutes less than his second full year. Spoelstra has lost some of his confidence on Robinson, but he’s still getting plenty of playing time.

His three-point attempts per game are almost the same. 8.6 per game this year, versus 8.5 and 8.3 in the years before. He’s actually shooting more (just slightly), and he’s definitively making less shots.

So far this season, Robinson has 119 threes in 343 attempts, for a 34.7%, way under his 40.8% from last season, and the 44.6% he had a couple of seasons ago. A 10% drop in two years (more or less, since we’ve had three seasons played in a very short time).

If he continues on this same path, it means Duncan Robinson would finish the season within the NBA average (for this season at 34.9% so far), but way under his average when he

Like Nekias Duncan stated in his article The Curious Case Of Duncan Robinson’s Shooting, what has surprised us the most is that, “oddly enough, it’s the easier shots — catch-and-shoot jumpers — the ones that aren’t falling”. The entire league, in average, is having a down year for multiple reasons.

It’s not just a Duncan Robinson issue, but it’s the issue we see every time we watch the Heat. Or not every time. Be fair with Duncan Robinson. He’s just being average, and you’re not used to it.  “Average” Duncan Robinson should be better than the rest. That’s why he got paid…

With Bam Adebayo coming back tonight, as ESPN reported a couple of days ago, we’ll see if Duncan gets a necessary spark. Teams have adjusted to Bam’s dribble handoff to Robinson in the past, and with Robinson having less gravity to get Adebayo open on a pick and roll,  I am not sure we should expect Duncan Robinson’s numbers to go up just because of this particular play, but hopefully I am wrong.

If you’re tired of my optimism based in cold numbers, you better go ahead and listen to what Ethan Skolnick, Greg Sylvander and Brady Hawk had to say about Adebayo’s return to the team (whenever it finally happens this week):

And also, check Brady Hawk’s Five Takeaways of the Loss against the Sixers here.

The Undeniable Rise of Caleb Martin

 

For many, just one opportunity is all they need to show the world what they can do. For Caleb Martin, it was about opportunity and the right team at the right time.

 

Caleb Martin was a late addition to the Miami Heat roster. Hell, he’s still not technically even on the official roster as it stands. But that last-second acquisition via a Two-Way Contract was more important than anyone on the Heat staff could have predicted. No one paid much mind to it and many on social media wondered why the team didn’t use a veteran minimum deal on a player like Wesley Matthews. While the move may have been partly to avoid the repeater tax, it made sense.

There’s a lot of CBA lingo I could get into, but the gist of it is Miami wants to maintain future flexibility by avoiding going into the repeater tax right now. It was frustrating at the time for many fans. I thought it was a decent buy-low move but can understand why some wouldn’t see it as such. Charlotte isn’t a huge market and the few that did know about Caleb would have preferred his brother.

The Heat have already learned their lesson of using end-of-rotation spots on journeymen past their prime. So long are the days of Eddie House, Amare Stoudamire, and Eddy Curry. The team now mostly uses those spots to develop younger unheralded guys who have yet to unlock their full potential. Players like Duncan Robinson, Gabe Vincent, and Max Strus. They want to take the clay that other teams discard and start molding them into a vase good enough for a museum.

Caleb was weighing various non-guaranteed Two-Way offers before getting the call that the Heat wanted him in for a workout. He would leave quite an impression on the Miami brass that included Pat Riley and Erik Spoelstra. The workout was enough for the team to offer him a Two-Way, the same as every other team that wanted his services. The difference was that Martin knew the Heat’s reputation of taking in undrafted players like him and putting them in the best position to succeed. The organization let its reputation speak for itself and landed a project wing.

What the Heat didn’t envision was Martin contributing as much as he has so fast. I imagine they expected to have him play spot minutes waiting on Victor Oladipo’s eventual addition to the team. It seemed to look that way as he garnered only 8 (garbage time) minutes total through the first 5 games. But as is the nature of the league, injuries occurred and Caleb was called upon more and more.

 

 

You’d think with more responsibility and a heavier workload that a Two-Way player would show why he was passed on by so many teams. It’s turned out to be quite the opposite for the versatile wing from Nevada. Martin has showcased every improved tool in his bag and more during this opportunity. His athletic downhill activity and versatility were facets the Heat had only had in Oladipo’s 4 games last season.

Martin has given them what Derrick Jones Jr used to but with an actual handle and ability to shoot. That shot-in-the-arm athleticism that only Bam Adebayo would give them. The Heat added a player that replicated the description of so many of the players on the Suns team that went to the Finals last year.

These skills didn’t appear overnight either. Caleb’s shooting has obviously improved steadily since he’s arrived. The handle and ability to break down a defender one on one while avoiding too many turnovers. He’s also learned to reign in his hyperactivity at the right times. Early in the season, you would see him cutting and standing where a teammate was occupying space. Caleb’s motor would stay on maximum overdrive at times but he’s learned little by little to let the game slow down.

That motor is still being used to its full potential on the defensive end. Watching him fly around on that end has been a joy to watch. Martin has been causing chaos and headaches for opposing guards night in and night out. He doesn’t care who Coach Spoelstra asks him to defend, he’s going to wreak havoc like Marlon Wayans in any scene he’s ever been in. That part of his game is more of a testament to the development he’s done before even getting to Miami. Caleb himself spoke about how he was always the scorer dating back to High School. He’s been adapting to what’s asked of him for quite a while already.

 

And he’s still learning on the fly as he’s been thrown into the fire. I don’t think he expected to start 9 games while averaging 30 minutes a game. But there’s no denying he’s taken the challenge head-on and full throttle. In his starts this season he’s putting up 14/5 on 54/42/73 shooting splits. A run of starts that included putting up 28 points on 9/12 shooting. It’s not only a challenge but an opportunity. Caleb knows this is where he could make an impression on not only the Heat but the whole NBA. Showing to everyone that he belongs and that he deserves a legitimate long-term NBA contract. He’s made it hard to ignore and it’s inevitable that the Heat will convert his deal when the tax date is up.

Martin knew Miami was the best spot for him to showcase and establish his place in the league. Miami was looking for a player like Caleb and he fell right into their lap. Maybe it wouldn’t have been as easy had Miami not made a name for itself as a development hub for undrafted and unheralded players. Caleb could have chosen to go elsewhere; it’s not like the Heat offered him a bigger deal than those other teams.

Martin and Miami caught each other at the perfect time and now they’re both reaping the benefits. He’s made it a no-brainer that he’ll get minutes once all the big 4 starters are healthy at once. Someone will have to take those minutes from him and I think Erik Spoelstra knows that. He prefers a versatile player like Caleb as opposed to a specialist. Players that fit his description are more valuable in playoff settings, especially ones that could involve the Nets or the Bulls.

It takes a lot to win a title and that includes hitting on value contracts as you pay your max-level stars. Martin was expected to be an infield single, but he’s been an inside-the-park home run. A regular home run isn’t chaotic and hard enough for a guy like Caleb.

 

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Mateo’s Hoop Diary: Slim Margin for Error for Trail Blazers

The Portland Trail Blazers are running out of time to turn their season around.  After 42% of the year, they’ve underachieved and sit at eight games below .500. Some of their record can be blamed on the injury report but most of it should be attributed to the poor product the Blazers have put on the court. 

 

Damian Lillard was diagnosed with an abdominal tendinopathy on Dec. 1, causing him to miss the next five games. In that span, Portland went 1-4.  Their only victory came against Detroit, one of two teams with single digit wins.  Yet, Lillard returned 11 days later in the loss at home against the Timberwolves, and it might have been too soon.  

 

Since his return, (8 games) Lillard appears to need more assistance getting open with the help of a screen. Most instances where he zips past a defender have come when he’s running down hill in transition with fewer moments of #0 beating his man in single coverage in the halfcourt.  Whenever Lillard initiates the offense in the halfcourt, Portland’s go-to option as of late is to have a teammate screen for him on either wing so he can pull up for a triple.  It’s becoming as predictable as Julius Randle of the Knicks cutting left. 

 

Another play Portland runs significantly is attack through the pick ‘n’ roll ball handler.  It’s used for 1/5 of their offense but the team isn’t scoring efficiently this way.  Portland is only converting 41.5% of their shots in this category while taking the eighth most attempts in the league.  This could potentially improve with the return of CJ McCollum.   He’s another dependable option to score as the pnr ball handler because of his swift ability to breakaway or stop on a dime.

 

This season under first-year coach Chauncey Billups, Portland has cut down on its isolation frequency.  In 2021, the Blazers led the NBA in iso usage (10.2%) and now only eight other teams run more one-on-one action.  Portland may have the ball stick less now (7.6), but their effectiveness attacking this way has decreased. While McCollum is out, most of the iso plays are going to Lillard, who has his teammates clear out for a possible lane or for space to take a jumper.  On more occasions, Dame Time is settling for a deep tray instead of blowing past his man.     

 

Defensively, the outfit is the worst team guarding in the NBA.  The Blazers are tied with New Orleans for last in the league in opponent 3-point percentage while also giving up over 48 points a night in their interior.  Much of this is due to poor communication, like not alerting a teammate of an incoming screen, a Blazer failing to inform another he’s switching, or not receiving help when stuck in a mismatch. 

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As an illustration, on Dec. 21 at New Orleans,Portland put the Pelicans in the bonus less than five minutes into the game.  Some of the penalties came defending a couple fastbreak layups by NOLA’s Josh Hart and Braondon Ingram and another was Jusuf Nurkić losing control on a loose ball.

 

Then on Dec. 31, Avery Bradley of the Lakers set a screen on Nassir Little on the right wing  anticipating LeBron James’ dive in transition.  James wrapped around the screen and Lillard was left on an island with him on the baseline.  In the moment of truth, Norman Powell did not help from the opposite baseline and instead stayed on Russell Westbrook in the corner. James then powered past Lillard to the basket for two plus the foul.

 

Four minutes into the same game, James stripped Powell’s right baseline cut and got out in transition after Westbrook flung the loose ball back to start the break.  Here Tony Snell of the Blazers can be seen jogging from the left corner until he reaches his team’s 3-point line.  

 

On Jan. 3, without Lillard (load management) at home, Portland outlasted the Atlanta Hawks, but not without the opposing squad dropping 131 points.  It was the fourth time this season their matchup scored at least 120 points at the Moda Center, but the only instance in which the Blazers won.  

 

Portland’s room for error is shrinking, but they are not out of the playoff hunt yet. Lillard and McCollum as recently as the bubble games showed that they could lead their team to wins at the end in the regular season to secure a final spot.  During that eight game stretch the Blazers finished 6-2.  This time around, performing late season heroics might be very challenging.  Every team is at risk of losing a key because of COVID-19 outbreak.  Missing the right players could derail a season.

 

 

Everything Tradeshows is a one-stop-shop for trade show exhibit rentals and custom exhibit display purchase solutions to companies of all sizes.

Visit them at EverythingTradeShows or call 954-791-8882

 

Mateo’s Hoop Diary: The Miami Heat’s Hot Winter

 

The Miami Heat have turned misfortune into opportunity over their last 14 games.  Since Dec. 1,  the team has been without at least two starters and in some cases three.  With key players catching the injury bug and COVID-19, the Heatles have managed to scrape away an 9-5 record.  

 

It’s tough for any outfit to play well through a long stretch when they are down two All-Stars.  Bam Adebayo tore the ligament in his right thumb at home on Nov. 29 against the Nuggets.  He was given a 4-6 week timetable.  Jimmy Butler hurt his tailbone in a fall at Chicago on Nov. 27 and then reaggravated the same injury five games later against Memphis.  Butler recently returned on Dec. 26 in the win at home over Orlando.  

 

Over the past 14 games, the Heat have deployed one of the deepest rosters in the league.  Before Adebayo and Butler went out, the Heat were first in the NBA in protecting the paint in six games through October and third after 15 outings in November.  In December, Miami is back at first in that category giving up only 38.8 points per game in the box.  During this stretch, Miami has relied heavily on the 2-3 zone which dissuades opponents from attacking the basket, but encourages them to shoot from deep or force the action in the middle.  

 

The team’s liking to the 2-3 coverage is probably a reason they are 20th in the NBA at protecting the 3-point line in December.  It’s a lot of ground to cover for two defenders up top and constant ball and player movement can eventually lead to a breakdown on the perimeter.    

 

Yet, Miami has done a decent job this month guarding its opponent.  In December, Miami is ninth in the league in DFG% (44.3) while holding the 10th best defensive rating.

 

If not for the key players out of the lineup, it’s unclear how much time Gabe Vincent, Max Strus, Caleb Martin and Omer Yurtseven would have gotten.  But they’ve seized the day as professor John Keating would say.  

 

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Vincent has started the last nine matches and had back-to-back career highs at Philadelphia (26 pts) then in Orlando (27pts). Yurtseven turned into the Heat’s rebounding magnet before backup center Dewayne Dedmon sprained his left MCL, and is absorbing 13 boards per contest over his last six games.  Martin in seven matches the entire month is casually dropping 13.6 points a night on over 59% shooting.  And it took health protocols within an hour before tip-off vs. Washington to hold back Strus who was averaging more than 22 points a game the last five outings.

 

All of this presents a wrinkle for Coach Erik Spoelstra as soon (if) his squad is fully healthy.  Normally, teams win in the postseason with their best eight guys.  When Adebayo, Lowry and Tucker return to the lineup, the minutes of Miami’s fantastic four reserves will presumably get slashed.  But having too many serviceable players is usually an issue only the contenders have.  Some will be unhappy or frustrated, but it doesn’t mean it is the last time they will play.

 

Some guys will eventually get into foul trouble and get yanked to the bench. Spo might determine a matchup is favorable over someone else.  Or, the odds are high that another Heatle will go through health protocols at some point again.  Miami is lucky it has four of these dudes that can stay ready.

What the Heat have shown is not a mirage.  They have better than a .500 record on the road (10-9) while taking care of home court (12-4).  That is a solid indicator of an exceptional team.