The Miami Heat’s Closing Problems: A Closer Look at the Late-Game Collapses

The Miami Heat’s inability to close out games this season has become a glaring issue, as seen in their most recent collapse against the Sacramento Kings. Playing without Jimmy Butler, who missed the game due to ongoing recovery from a minor injury, the Heat squandered a 13-point lead in the fourth quarter. This marks another instance in a troubling pattern for a team that prides itself on resilience and discipline.

Major Collapses This Season:

• 17-point lead lost to the Kings (Jan. 6, 2025, without Butler.)
• 13-point lead lost to the Knicks (Oct. 30th, 2024)
• 15-point lead lost to the Suns (Nov. 6th, 2024)
• 22-point lead lost to the Magic (Dec. 27, 2024, without Butler.)
• 15-point lead lost to the Kings (Nov. 4th, 2024)
• Overtime Blunder Vs the Pistons (Nov. 12th, 2024, Late inbounding play allowed, illegal timeout by Spoelstra.)
• 8-point overtime lead after large comeback vs the Pistons (Dec. 16th, 2024,)

Despite being led by the widely respected Erik Spoelstra, these late-game meltdowns highlight critical issues, from tactical flaws to player execution under pressure.

Defensive Rebounding Woes

One of the most glaring issues for the Heat is their inability to secure defensive rebounds. Ranking 21st in opponent offensive rebounds per game (11.4), they’ve allowed too many second-chance opportunities. The Kings exploited this weakness by grabbing 18 offensive rebounds, resulting in 23 second-chance points.

This vulnerability stems from Spoelstra’s reliance on small lineups. While these rotations offer offensive versatility, they often lack the size to contend with teams boasting strong rebounders. Without Jimmy Butler’s presence, the Heat have leaned even more heavily on undersized lineups, highlighting the problem.

Clutch Stats: A Disappointing Reality for Key Players

The Heat have played the sixth-most clutch games this season but have struggled mightily, posting a 7-12 record in such scenarios. While role players share some responsibility, the spotlight falls on Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo, who have not delivered consistently in the clutch.

Tyler Herro

• Shooting 30.0% in clutch moments, a notable drop from his 45.3% season average.
• Often struggles to create separation or convert tough shots when defenses tighten late.
• As the team’s leading scorer (23.9 PPG), his inability to maintain efficiency in critical moments has hurt the team.

Bam Adebayo

• Adebayo’s clutch performance is equally concerning. His free-throw percentage drops to 45.5% in clutch situations, down from his season average of 72.7%.
• Offensively, he attempts fewer than two shots per game in the clutch, despite opportunities to exploit mismatches.
• For a player of his caliber, fading offensively in high-pressure moments is unacceptable.

Rotational Criticism of Erik Spoelstra

Even a coach as accomplished as Erik Spoelstra is not immune to scrutiny. Several of his rotational decisions have raised questions this season, especially late in games.

Small Lineups on Defense

Against the Magic, Spoelstra’s small-ball approach allowed Orlando to dominate the boards. Similar issues arose against the Kings, where a lack of size led to repeated second-chance points. Miami needs to get back to the fundamentals of boxing out and grabbing boards as they rank 22nd with 43.2 rebounds per game.

Inconsistent Usage of Shooters

Haywood Highsmith has been shooting 42.7% from three, yet Spoelstra has frequently benched him in crunch time in favor of others. This has limited the Heat’s spacing and offensive options in critical moments.

What Needs to Change?

Bam Adebayo Must Dominate Late

Adebayo needs to assert himself offensively throughout the whole game but especially in clutch moments. Whether it’s exploiting mismatches or facilitating from the post, his presence must be felt late in games, especially as a captain of this team.

Herro’s Efficiency Must Improve

Herro has been a bright spot for Miami this season, but Herro must focus on smarter shot selection in crunch time. Attacking the rim more often and drawing fouls could improve his clutch scoring efficiency.

Commitment to Defensive Rebounding

Rotations featuring Haywood Highsmith or Kelel Ware alongside Adebayo could provide additional size and physicality without compromising mobility and spacing.

Smarter Rotations by Spoelstra

Spoelstra must adapt by prioritizing winning the boards, Miami is 9-0 in games where they win the rebounding battle. It is essential for Miami to control the game on the boards. The young players must get physical down low and learn to rebound, but Erik Spoelstra has to provide the opportunity for growth.

Spoelstra on Rotations: “We’re trying to find the right balance, but we’ve got to do better closing out games.”

Final Thoughts

The Miami Heat have the talent and coaching expertise to contend, but their inability to close out games is their Achilles’ heel. For players like Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo, stepping up in clutch moments isn’t optional—it’s mandatory. If these issues persist, the Heat risk squandering yet another season. This Heat team isn’t the best, but plenty of games have been left out on the court compromising their record and exploiting many of their issues.

 

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Strahinja Jokić, the older brother of the Denver Nuggets center, has pled not guilty to the third-degree assault charge that stems from allegedly punching a fan at Ball Arena during a game against the Lakers in April 2024. 

 

A video of the incident, showing S. Jokić striking another person, can be seen here. The victim had a concussion, bruising, and lacerations.

 

S. Jokić’s pre-trial conference is set for April 18. His jury trial is set for April 24. If convicted, he is facing a fine of not more than $1,000 and/or imprisonment in the county jail not exceeding 364 days. The case was reassigned to from courtroom 3F to 3B.

S. Jokić was previously in legal trouble in Denver in 2019. Then, he was charged with assault in the second degree for strangling Maria Jokić and accused of false imprisonment plus obstructing a telephone or telegraph service. He later accepted a guilty plea for obstructing a phone service and trespassing in a deferred prosecution arrangement, eliminating the charges. The trespassing charge was removed in 2022.

In professional sports, no player, no matter how talented or iconic, is ever bigger than the organization. Legends like Michael Jordan, who ended his career with the Washington Wizards, and Joe Montana, who played for the Kansas City Chiefs after his glory years with the San Francisco 49ers, remind us that players come and go, but teams endure. This ethos is deeply ingrained in the Miami Heat’s culture under Pat Riley’s leadership, where team success always comes first.

Jimmy Butler’s five-year tenure with the Heat has been one of significant contributions and milestones. From leading Miami to two NBA Finals appearances to being the team’s emotional and competitive anchor, Butler has undoubtedly left his mark. But recent events have cast doubt on his future with the franchise.

 

Jimmy Butler’s six-year Miami Heat tenure:

• 2X NBA Finals appearances
•  ECF MVP 
• 2X All-Star
• 3X All-NBA
•  1st in triple doubles in franchise history
•  1st in 40+ point playoffs games
• Most points in a playoff game in franchise history (56)

The Current Situation

Following a loss to the Indiana Pacers, Butler expressed frustration publicly, stating, “I want to see me get my joy back from playing basketball, wherever that may be.” These comments ignited a firestorm of speculation about his future with the Heat. Shortly after, the organization suspended Butler for seven games, citing “multiple instances of conduct detrimental to the team over the course of the season and particularly the last several weeks.”

While Butler has a reputation as one of the NBA’s fiercest competitors, his “my way or the highway” approach has a well-documented history of creating friction. Miami is now grappling with how to proceed, balancing the need to maintain team cohesion with the undeniable contributions Butler has made.

 

A Pattern of Fallouts

This isn’t the first time Butler has clashed with a franchise. His history of contentious departures is well-known:

• Chicago Bulls: After emerging as a star in Chicago, Butler’s relationship with the Bulls deteriorated amid conflicts with teammates and concerns about his leadership style. The team eventually traded him to Minnesota in 2017.
• Minnesota Timberwolves: Butler’s time in Minnesota was brief but explosive. During a now-infamous practice, Butler reportedly berated teammates and front office members, asserting dominance over younger players like Karl-Anthony Towns and Andrew Wiggins. His public demands for a trade led to a swift exit.
• Philadelphia 76ers: After helping the Sixers to a deep playoff run, Butler reportedly clashed with head coach Brett Brown over his role in the offense. These internal tensions played a role in Butler leaving Philadelphia in free agency to join the Heat.

In Miami, Butler initially found a home that embraced his fiery personality and win-at-all-costs mentality. But as the pattern repeats, it’s clear that his approach often leads to friction when challenges arise. This scenario is no different as Jimmy has quit on not only management, but his teammates, and ultimately the fans.

Pat Riley’s History with Star Players

Pat Riley’s tenure with the Miami Heat has been marked by both success and hard decisions regarding superstar players.

• Dwyane Wade: Despite being the franchise’s cornerstone, Wade experienced a fallout with Riley over contract disputes in 2016, leading to Wade’s departure to Chicago. Riley later admitted he mishandled the situation and welcomed Wade back in 2018 to finish his career in Miami.
• Shaquille O’Neal: After helping the Heat win their first championship in 2006, O’Neal’s relationship with Riley and the organization soured due to clashes over effort and fitness. Riley traded Shaq to Phoenix in 2008 to move the team forward.
• LeBron James: LeBron’s departure in 2014 was less contentious but highlighted Riley’s firm stance on team-first principles. LeBron reportedly clashed with Riley over his desire for more player-centric control of the organization.

Through these experiences, Riley has consistently prioritized the long-term health of the franchise, even at the expense of losing marquee players. Is Riley always in the right? No, yet the pattern is clear and has resulted in a historic winning franchise.

 

Did the Heat Miss Their Window?

Given Butler’s age (35) and the physical demands of his playing style, some argue that the Heat should have anticipated these issues and moved him during the summer of 2023, when his trade value was at an all-time high. Instead, the team doubled down, keeping an aging star on a hefty contract (one Butler didn’t believe was enough), a decision that may now limit their options.

Pat Riley, who has delivered three championships to Miami, has built a legacy on making tough but necessary decisions. Letting go of a star player is never easy, but Riley’s track record shows a commitment to the long-term health of the franchise over short-term gains.

 

Looking Ahead

The Miami Heat are at a crossroads. Moving Butler now would likely yield diminished returns compared to what could have been achieved a few months ago. However, the organization must prioritize team stability and future competitiveness.

A potential best-case scenario for the Heat, as outlined by Barry Jackson’s recent tweets, could involve rebuilding trust with Butler through internal discussions while actively exploring trade options behind the scenes. The Heat might package Butler with young assets to acquire a younger star or high draft picks, ensuring the team remains competitive in the future. Another avenue could see Butler returning to the court after suspension with renewed focus, using the remainder of the season to prove his value, thereby maximizing his trade stock in the offseason.

Conclusion

Jimmy Butler’s time with the Miami Heat has been a rollercoaster of highs and lows. His contributions are undeniable, but so too is the reality that no player is bigger than the team. As the Heat navigate this difficult situation, Pat Riley’s guiding philosophy—putting the organization above all else—will ultimately determine the path forward.

 

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Austin Dobbins can be found at @AustinD1316

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Tyler Herro cooked the Rockets so hard that Amen Thompson had to throw him down to make it stop, but the Heat were already too far ahead.  The crew overcame the league’s second-rated defense plus 13 lead changes en route to one of the top wins of the season. 

 

“That’s what happens when someone’s scoring, throwing dimes, doing the whole thing. I’d get mad, too,” Herro said in the locker room postgame.

 

Herro led the way early, dribbling to the hoop for a couple of baskets and hitting a deep pull-up. Terry Rozier logged four shots and Adebayo made two in the paint.

 

But the defense couldn’t stop Alperen Şengün piercing the lane four times, and Rozier fouled Jalen Green on a 3-point try. 

 

Then Adebayo, Rozier and Highsmith added two field goals apiece, but the rest of the team made two of nine. Defensively, 3-pointers weren’t hurting the crew, but Şengün was perfect on three extra attempts in the restricted area.

 

At halftime, the Heat was up 53-50. They had 30 paint points, nine on the break, eight via second chances, 10 off turnovers and nine from the bench. 

 

The Rockets had 28 paint points, six on the break, seven via second chances, six off turnovers and 11 from the bench.

 

Subsequently, the Heat started the turd quarter, getting outscored 18-5 in five minutes. Jalen Green was also catching fire on scores from long and close range. But the flow of the match changed as soon as Herro connected on a corner triple supplied by Haywood Highsmith. The Heat ended the quarter making eight of 10 baskets on screen rolls and open jumpers. 

 

The fourth quarter began with the Heat down 82-81. It was a defensive struggle after four minutes when the Heat went down seven points. No team shot above 31.6%, yet the visitors were sharper to close, holding the Rockets to 11 connective misses and three baskets in the last 18 tries. 

 

Herro was the only Heatle to hit multiple shots in the frame, but Nikola Jović’s wing dagger over Thompson put the game out of reach. 

 

Next, Fred VanVleet got ejected while arguing over a five-second violation. Herro made the technical free throw, but while waiting for the ball to check in, he and Thompson got tangled up. Herro was thrown on the ground and bodies instantly came into the fray- Rozier went for Thompson in particular. 

 

It resulted in ejections for Herro, Rozier, Thompson, Green, Ime Udoka and Ben Sullivan.

 

The Heat won 104-100. They had 48 paint points, 14 on the break, 15 via second chances, 15 off turnovers and 31 from the bench. 

 

Herro scored 27 points on 10 of 17 attempts, with six rebounds, nine assists and three turnovers. 

 

Jović had 18 points on five of nine shots, with seven rebounds and six assists. 

 

And Highsmith had 15 points on 67% shooting, with eight rebounds, two assists, two steals, one block and a turnover. 

 

The Rockets had 44 paint points, 19 on the break, nine via second chances, 12 off turnovers and 18

from the bench. 

 

After the game, Adebayo said the team’s response to the dust-up was appropriate. “That’s what being in this locker room is about… one of us get in a scuffle, we all jump in.”

 

The Heat’s record is now 16-14.

 

Observations: 

 

• Kel’el Ware’s size was a problem for the Rockets. He scored on screen rolls with Herro and Jović. The Heat will need more of Ware’s vertical spacing when Adebayo rests.

 

• Jović had his top game of the season. He made three of five triples on the catch and dribble, plus maneuvered into the lane for two baskets. 

 

• It would be unjust if the NBA’s chief disciplinarian Joe Dumars suspended Herro. Getting dropped, cursing at an aggressor and waving goodbye to the crowd is not cause for it, but pretending to be in mixed martial arts is. 

 

• This is what getting a win out of the mud looks like. The team’s half-court offense was halted to 84.1 points per 100 possessions, good enough for the 18th percentile of all games played this season, per Cleaning the Glass. 

 

A masterful second half by Tyler Herro wasn’t enough to lift the Heat out of danger. Trae Young and Jalen Johnson went wild against the defense, and the hosts closed the game on a gut-punching 14-5 run.

 

The Hawks had 35 opening points, including scores on three backdoor cuts. Herro, Bam Adebayo and Haywood Highsmith countered with baskets from long and close range. 

 

Then Duncan Robinson, Alec Burks and Herro poured in five treys. And Adebayo and Highsmith scored at the rim. The defense forced five turnovers but couldn’t stop Zaccharie Risacher and Johnson from making six shots in the lane.

 

At halftime, the Heat was down 61-58. The team had 26 paint points, eight on the break, seven via second chances, 10 off turnovers and 15 from the bench. 

 

The Hawks had 36 paint points, seven on the break, seven via second chances, nine off turnovers and 27 from the bench.  Infamous Heat killer Garrison Mathews also sent his regards with 10 on three of six shots off Atlanta’s bench, and De’Andre Hunter also had 10.

 

Next, Herro scored 11 points at the line, attacking on the break, Euro-stepping into the lane and nailing a deep triple. Highsmith and Jaime Jaquez Jr. chipped in multiple baskets apiece, but aside from them, the crew made three of 12 shots. 

 

For the Hawks, Johnson dribbled and cut his way into the lane for three baskets. Hunter added three of four makes. And Mathews downed two more treys. 

 

The fourth quarter started with the Heat down 93-84. They got within a point after Herro hit a pull-up triple with four minutes left. To that moment, the crew had made seven of 13 baskets in the period. 

 

Subsequently, Atlanta went on a 14-5 run, which was supplied by Hunter, Mathews, Johnson and Young to close the game. 

 

The Heat lost 120-110. The team had 50 paint points, 17 on the break, 12 via second chances, 17 off turnovers and 27 from the bench. 

 

Herro had 28 points on eight of 15 shots, with seven rebounds, 10 assists and two turnovers. 

 

Adebayo put up 17 points on 47.1% shooting, with 10 rebounds, two assists, one steal, two blocks and two turnovers.

 

And Highsmith had 14 points on six of eight attempts, with six rebounds, two assists and a turnover. 

 

The Hawks had 56 paint points, 17 on the break, nine via second chances, 12 off turnovers and 59 from the bench. Hunter had 26 off the bench. 

 

After the game, coach Erik Spoelstra said, “We had some plays where we got them to the last five seconds of the clock and just could not finish… and on the other end, we came up empty.”

Observations:

• Spoelstra rested Herro four minutes to start the fourth, which was a bit too long because he was the team’s main source of offense. He played slightly below 36 minutes. There is nothing wrong with the star breaking 40 every once in a while.

 

• This was Highsmith’s fourth night of the season making at least six shots.

 

• The Heat converted 17 of 25 shots in the restricted area and 47.1% in the paint non-restricted area, finishing slightly above average efficiency in both spots.

 

• The half-court offense generated 97.5 points per 100 plays, good enough for the 53rd percentile of the stat in all games played this season, per Cleaning the Glass.

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