Mateo’s Hoop Diary: Heat take Game 1 from the Celtics in Boston

The Celtics couldn’t stop Jimmy Butler from maneuvering left. In the first quarter, he logged a dozen points, unbothered by his matchup, with two dimes, two rebounds and two steals.

In the first quarter, the Heat converted 52.4% of its attempts and half from deep. Yet, the visitor’s issue throughout the first half offensively was ball security. Three poor passes and an illegal pick resulted in four turnovers to Boston’s three.

The Celtics also picked up five offensive rebounds in the opening frame. This resulted in the hosts taking six more shots to start, but they only had a two-point lead to show for it.

Kyle Lowry kicked off the second quarter by attacking Robert Williams III in drop coverage. He logged every minute of the interval and made five straight buckets off the dribble or in a stationary position on the wing.

Without Lowry’s contributions before halftime, Miami would have been toast. He was the only Heatle to register more than one field goal in the second quarter while the defense reacted slowly to rim pressure. In a six-minute stretch, the Celtics went on a 25-10 run that included eight paint finishes without a miss.

Jayson Tatum repped the hosts with 18 points on 53.8% shooting with five rebounds in the first half. His partner Jaylen Brown had 11 coming from putbacks, transition attacks, two floaters and a cutting layup through the middle. Williams, too, was problematic for Miami, hitting five shots off putbacks and rim runs.

The Heat was down 57-66 at halftime. The White and Red made 53.7% of its tries, but the Green had taken five more shots from the field and six extra at the charity line.

In the third quarter, the Heat stormed back into the match, outscoring the Celtics 46-25. Five consecutive baskets by Max Strus, Kevin Love, Gabe Vincent and Adebayo ignited the group and cut its deficit to a point after being down 12 a minute into the frame.

Butler logged another dozen points, plus a steal. He took three trips to the line, making all five freebies, nailing buckets on the baseline and in the corner.

Strus led for the Heat with 13 on his scorecard for quarter three. Mad Max splashed two pull-up triples on the wings and one catch-and-release banger in the corner.

Miami entered the fourth quarter up 12 points, but the offense cooling down allowed Boston to get within four.

Tatum didn’t register a field goal attempt for the Celtics in the fourth, but he was fouled on three drives and scored six points at the line. Brown punctured the lane three times, taking advantage of Miami’s willingness to switch. Brown’s only misses late were behind the arc.

Yet the Heat had Butler. With over six minutes left, #22 stripped Brown and picked up two interceptions in the passing lanes, bringing his total to six takeaways. Shockingly, Al Horford tried a cross-court pass from corner to wing that Butler stole. Unsurprisingly, Tatum’s tunnel vision blinded him from seeing Butler camped out at the elbow as a spy, waiting for the dish to Brown.

In crunch time, Butler isolated White on the right wing and darted into the paint for a turnaround jumper. Next, he targeted Malcolm Brogdon on a switch and dribbled down to the baseline for a 13-footer. His last basket was a right-wing triple contested by Brogdon that briefly extended the Heat’s lead to 10 points with a minute left.

The Heat won Game 1 123-116.

At the postgame presser, coach Erik Spoelstra said there wasn’t much said at halftime regarding the nine-point deficit.

“Our guys knew,” Spoelstra said. “Playing against a very good basketball team in the first half, we had 11 turnovers, and they had 40 in the paint. I can’t say that’s just all us. That’s what they are capable of doing if we are not really on top of our game… We’ve been in a lot of these situations where we have to battle back from deficits even on the road. So, we started to chip away at it and finally got the lead and were able to take control from there.”

When Butler was asked about taking away home-court advantage from the Celtics, he said, “We are just playing really good basketball. More than anything, we are staying together through the good and through the bad. It is a game of runs, and we can talk to one another. I think that’s what ultimately makes me smile is the fact that when things aren’t going our way, we can look at each other eye-to-eye and know when somebody is messing around. And we can fix it…”

For all your Heat/Panthers daily fantasy plays, use the code “five” at PrizePicks.com and your initial deposit is matched up to $100.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The Florida Panthers are ready to write the next chapter of their playoff story in Carolina

SUNRISE — The vibes have been good in South Florida over the last few days and rightfully so. The team that everybody wrote off is still fighting for the Stanley Cup and now they are just a day away from Game 1 of the third round. 

 

Both the Panthers and Carolina Hurricanes won their second round series last week in five games, so the two sides have had to sit around and wait until the west sorted out their conference final representatives

 

“It feels like you’ve been playing every other day for the last two months, you get a couple days (off) it’s kind of nice,” Carter Verhaeghe said. “We’re ready to get back at it.”

 

Verhaeghe and the rest of the Panthers will be back at it tomorrow. 

 

The team will fly to Raleigh today ahead of Thursday’s Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals. It will be the first time since 1996 that the franchise will play in the third round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs. 

 

This whole run for the Panthers has been nothing short of eventful. Everyone knows how they snuck into the playoffs by just one point after going on a 6-1-1 run to end the regular season. They one upped that by defeating the Presidents’ Trophy winning Boston Bruins in Game 7 overtime after being down in the series 3-1. The most recent chapter in this story book run was less drama-filled but nonetheless impressive, taking down the Toronto Maple Leafs in five very close games.

 

Now the Panthers turn the page as they look to continue this postseason story in Carolina. 

 

“It’s the dream everybody dreams of when you were a kid growing up. You always watched the NHL Playoffs, that’s the biggest thing of the year,” Anton Lundell said on being in the postseason. “I’m really excited to be here and get the opportunity to still play hockey, we want to make the best of it.”

 

Getting the opportunity to live that dream hasn’t been a walk in the park for the Panthers, or for any team that still remains in the dance for the cup. As the final four is set to kick off, the Panthers are keeping the same mentality that has gotten them to this point.

 

“We have a lot of belief in our group and I think we showed that in the past two series,” Josh Mahura said. “Going into this series we know we are preparing the same way, same mindset. Nothing really changes that.”  

 

Florida has yet another difficult opponent standing in their way of hockey’s greatest treasure and the Canes could be the toughest foe yet.

 

Carolina were the Metropolitan division winners in the regular season and came out on top of that division in the postseason as well, defeating both the New York Islanders and New Jersey Devils. 

 

They continued their regular season play in the postseason, sitting atop many of the playoff statistics leaderboards, which Panthers head coach Paul Maurice pointed out. 

 

“Analytically, Carolina is the best team in the league, that’s just a fact.”

 

Florida has been the underdog all playoffs long, and if they were to advance, they’d probably still hold that title. 

 

The team knows the public opinions on them and frankly, they couldn’t care less. 

 

“We just go out there and try to play, we don’t think we’re underdogs,” Verhaeghe said. “We don’t really focus too much on who was favored to win or what people are betting on.” 

 

Not focusing on outside factors has worked just fine for the Panthers and they’ll get to continue this story tomorrow night at 8 p.m. in Raleigh, North Carolina for Game 1. 

Read more

Mateo’s Hoop Diary: Nikola Jokić and Anthony Davis’ duel ends with a Nuggets win in Game 1

The Lakers’ defense looked raggedy from the jump. Nothing in Nikola Jokić’s way could stop him as he nailed jump shots, broke inside the lane for layups, and scored putbacks won off 50-50 balls.

In the first quarter, he retrieved 12 rebounds, his most ever in an interval, yet six were offensive, and converted four of six shots. Anthony Davis stayed on his hip, forcing two misses- one on a retry layup and the other on a drive from the top of the key. But the Joker scored twice on him in the first quarter and would do so with ease as the game matured.

Yet, early, the Nuggets raced out to a 37-25 lead. Aaron Gordon and Jamal Murray recorded eight of the host’s points on the break as LA failed to put pressure on the ball. Jokić’s sleight of hand produced five dimes before his first break at 43 seconds left in the frame.

The second quarter turned into a duel of giants between Davis and Jokić. AD dropped five buckets- a turnaround hook, a putback jam, two cutting layups, and a pull-up jumper at the elbow with the Big Tipper defending him. Jokić countered by beating Davis off the dribble from the wing to the cup and dusting him in the post as he sliced into the paint for a dunk.

At halftime, the Nuggets led 72-54. Jokić had 19 on his scorecard, Murray logged 17, and Michael Porter Jr. helped with 10. Bruce Brown contributed all of Denver’s 14 bench points on five of nine field goals.

Through 24 minutes, Denver had recovered 36 rebounds to Los Angeles’ 13. Thirteen were also on the offensive side for the Nuggets, which turned into 16 second chance points. Even with hosts registering two more turnovers, their work on the glass churned out seven additional field goal attempts over LA.

In the third period, Davis was immaculate from the field and didn’t sit a moment. Three of his five baskets were scored with the Joker defending an elbow jumper or two straight paint hooks. His partner LeBron James got his licks in, too, spinning past Porter and attacking Gordon in transition.

Although, their old cohort Kentavious Caldwell Pope, now a Nugget, carbonized his former pals. He hit a jumper against drop coverage, converted a right-wing triple when the Lakers inanely doubled the Joker in the post while Davis was on him and hit another trifecta behind a flare screen on the left side. Kenny the Pope matched Jokić with 12 points in the third quarter.

The Cookie Monster (Jokić) also had an unsullied stat line in the period, going five of five from the floor, with five more dimes and three boards. As LA cut its deficit to 11 points with six seconds left in the frame, the Joker dribbled up court and buried a stepback slingshot from 28 feet out over Davis. AD smiled as Jokić looked back and shrugged.

Murray scored the first six points for the Nuggets in the fourth quarter with jump shots in front of drop coverage. The Lakers’ defense didn’t show much resistance in the last gap, but it is where the hosts recorded its lowest field goal percentage. Still, the Nuggets tallied 26 additional points on half of its attempts. But the squad was dull on defense.

Denver’s worst habit was over-helping and leaving shooters behind the 3-point line open. When Rui Hachimura caught the rock in the post, guarded by Murray, Christian Braun came down from the top while Brown was already the low man in position to help. The ball swung to Austin Reaves on the right wing for three points. The damage Hachimura had imposed so far off the bench had rattled Denver’s senses.

Then, Murray decided to double James up top, letting Reaves waltz over to the left side. James instantly recognized the breakdown, dished the ball, and Hillbilly Kobe cut LA’s deficit to three points.

With over two minutes left, Denver was up six points. Again, James initiated offense through a screen at the key, and foolishly Murray blitzed once more. This allowed Reaves to comfortably catch-and-fire from the wing and cut the Nuggets’ lead in half.

James went for the tie, hoisting away from the key, but missed. Jokić drove into the paint on the next possession but was fouled and took a trip to the line, making two. While the Lakers were on life support, Murray poked the ball free from James’ grasp and Denver recovered it.

The Nuggets won Game 1 132-126. Jokić finished with 34 points, 21 rebounds and 14 dimes. On the other side, Davis had 40 points and 10 boards.

At the postgame presser, coach Mike Malone said his team’s defense needs to improve.

“Our defense has to be a hell of a lot better,” Malone said. “They shot 66% in that second half, and they didn’t feel us and they scored too [easily]… I’d much rather clean things up after a win in the Western Conference Finals than a loss. I will take it but [there is] much work to do.”

When asked about Hachimura’s impact when the Lakers went big, Jokić said, “ I had a couple of turnovers and missed shots. It doesn’t surprise us, but I think we are going to figure it out…”

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Mateo’s Hoop Diary: Philadelphia or Boston: Which team is a better matchup for the Heat?

As the seconds ticked away on the Heat’s 96-92 win over the Knicks at home, Pat Riley assuredly grinned with contentment.  Not just because his club embodied his image and personality, as coach Erik Spoelstra said postgame, but because his group bounced his old employer.

 

Jimmy Butler was in good spirits, too, after sending home his former coach of the Bulls and Timberwolves, Tom Thibodeau.  He sat next to Kyle Lowry at the presser, shirtless.  When asked what set the Heat apart from the typical eighth seed, he answered, “We got Kyle Lowry,” making his partner blush beside him.    

 

The dub advances the Heatles to its third conference finals since Butler arrived in 2019.  With JB in command, the squad has competed in 10 playoff series, winning seven.  In those four seasons, Miami has the most playoff wins with a 33-21 record, is second in games logged and has the third-highest winning percentage at 61.1% behind the Lakers and Warriors.  

 

Spoelstra is now seven postseason dubs behind Doc Rivers for fourth place all-time in playoff coaching wins.

 

The Butler experience is one of the best rides the Heat’s ever been a part of.  The group now waits until Sunday afternoon after Game 7 between the 76ers and Celtics to see who it will play next.  Judging from afar, Philadelphia seems like a tougher matchup for Miami.

 

What? A Doc Rivers-led team? I’m afraid so.  There is no doubt that Joel Embiid would pose a significantly greater problem than Boston’s frontline of Al Horford and the shell of Robert Williams III.  Bam Adebayo could defend any of the Celtics’ bigs in single coverage.  Marking Embiid in some spots might require a double team, exposing an area of the floor.

 

Adebayo on Embiid is the only option that works.  It wouldn’t be an easy face-off for #13 because Embiid is drawing 9.8 free throw attempts per game in the postseason, and he is a perpetual flopper.  If Adebayo gets into foul trouble, it would require a superhero effort from Butler and Co. to prevent Philadelphia from abusing the interior.

 

In the Playoffs, Embiid is recording 37.3 minutes and dropping 24.8 points per game on 45.2% field goal efficiency. It’s not close to his regular season average of 33.1 points on 54.8% shooting, but he’s been banged up since Game 3 of round one.  Regardless, Embiid is still making half his catch-and-shoot attempts, swatting 2.9 shots per outing, and holding his matchup to 40.7% of its tries from the field.

 

I am not underestimating the Celtics, either.  Fortunately for the Heat, the Celtics are like Geroge Romero’s living dead and refuse to go away, biting off chunks of flesh before the round’s over. Boston’s ball movement has also exposed Philadelphia’s defense up top, splashing 39.3% of above-the-break triples.  But Embiid has been a solid second line of defense and the main reason why Philadelphia’s rivals are scoring just 39 points in the paint in the Playoffs.

 

Game 7 in Boston could go either way, but it’s probably best for the Heat if it sees the team that beat it last year on its home floor instead of the group that’s hungry to avenge last season’s round-two loss to Miami.

 

  

 

Mateo’s Hoop Diary: Knicks stay alive and force Game 6 in Miami

Thankfully, Jim Jackson and Ian Eagle were in charge of the last two broadcasts for the Knicks-Heat series. Not that Turner’s coverage is groundbreaking; the audience still has to suffer the psychobabble of Reggie Miller and the thoughtlessness of Stan Van Gundy. But it’s not ABC.

During Game 3’s halftime analysis, Jalen Rose went unchecked, saying the Miami weather was affecting the series, regardless of the game played in a sufficiently ventilated space. Following Miami’s Game 4 win, on ESPN’s “Get Up” show, Mike Greenberg doubled down on Rose’s dopiness and said, “There’s the reality of the temperature change. The heat, the geography, being down there for three days. It sorta zaps a little bit of your energy and your strength…”

I instantly turned my TV off and felt sorry for whoever stayed listening.

In Game 5, Max Strus led the Heat to a 24-10 advantage in the first quarter. Jimmy Butler was more concerned with setting up teammates after a steal, sparking transition, or getting rid of the ball when doubled.

Miami contained the Knicks to six out of 20 makes in the first frame. Julius Randle played every first quarter minute, but as he rested on the bench, the hosts went on runs without him.

The lead seesawed between New York and Miami early in period two. The hosts were operating so well without Randle that he wasn’t checked in until three minutes were left in the half.

While Randle was on the floor in the first interval, he sucked the air out of the ball. He registered one out of seven makes, with one assist to two turnovers, while on a 33.3% usage. The Knicks in the period totaled four dimes.

The Heat struggled to suppress the Knicks’ ball movement in the second quarter. All seven New York assists in quarter two came while Randle was on the bench. The Knicks also raced out to 10 fastbreak points

On the other side, Bam Adebayo hit four straight shots before the half. He dribbled into the lane for a hook over Isaiah Hartenstein, a layup past Mitchell Robinson, and two fastbreak slams. The second dunk was off a Butler miss. Hartenstein went up for the rebound, but Adebayo exploded behind him, grabbed it first and threw it into the cylinder.

At intermission, Miami’s best attack was scoring on second tries. The Heat was down 47-50, taking four more shots but recovering eight offensive boards that turned into 17 second-chance points to New York’s three. Adebayo and Butler each had 12 on their scorecard.

The third quarter was the worst defensive sequence for the visitors. The Knicks scored 34 points on 68.8% shooting from the field and 62.5% efficiency behind the arc. The Heat was caught overhelping on opposing drives and closing out too hard, which exposed areas of the perimeter.

The Heatles endured three scoreless minutes in the third quarter, missing six consecutive tries. The Knicks climbed to its largest series lead (19) midway through the frame.

To start the fourth quarter, the Heat was down 10.

Lowry converted two jumpers by getting M.Robinson and Hartenstein to bite on his fake before hoisting to the side. Duncan Robinson’s sharp shooting, plus Adebayo and Butler’s rim pressure brought Miami to within a possession of the lead with two minutes to go.

The Knicks countered with RJ Barrett driving left on Gabe Vincent. RJ was a step ahead of his man, but an adequate contest was managed. Although Butler left Hartenstein alone to help bother, but his man picked up the miss and went back up for a dunk.

With Miami down four, D. Robinson launched a top-of-the-key triple, but it missed. Butler then bumped into Barrett’s back and was called for a loose ball foul.

The Knicks won 112-103. It was the first match since Game 2 in Milwaukee that Butler had just 12 field goal attempts. In the Heat’s seven postseason wins, Butler averages 23 tries a night.

At the postgame presser, coach Erik Spoelstra said nothing is easy in the Playoffs.

“We expected this to be tough,” Spo said. “They played well…They really dominated those first seven minutes of the third quarter. We fought back to get it to a possession game in the fourth quarter. I really felt like we needed to get it to at least a tie, or [within] one point, or take the lead. That could have changed things, but you have to give them credit. They made plays when they needed to, and they also earned that 18-19 point lead that they had in the third quarter.”

The series heads back to Miami for Game 6, and the Heat will not practice Thursday.

 

 

 

 

Mateo’s Hoop Diary: Heat push Knicks to the brink of elimination

Amelia Earhart will come back before the Knicks in round two. Game five is at Madison Square Garden Wednesday, but New York has no answer for Jimmy Butler.

Through eight playoff games, Butler has the third-highest scoring average in the postseason (33.5) but is fifth in total points logged. Stephen Curry, Devin Booker, Nikola Jokić, and Kevin Durant have more, but Butler has played fewer games than each.

The first half of Game 4 belonged to Bam Adebayo. He was invigorated like Frankenstein‘s monster fresh off the operating table. Adebayo looked for the ball after shielding handlers with a screen to get inside. Following two quarters, he had 16 points and seven rebounds.

On one early connection, Kevin Love beat Randle off the dribble from the wing to the lane, forcing New York’s shot blocker to leave Adebayo open for a hook. It was the best impersonation of Tim Hardaway and Alonzo Mourning all evening.

Max Strus added eight points through two quarters, nailing two triples as the trailing guard in transition, plus a slam after a pick.

On the Knicks’ side, Julius Randle and Jalen Brunson were the main culprits dealing damage. Both had efficiently recorded double figures in the score column. Randle identified mismatches and navigated past Adebayo and Butler on rim attacks. Brunson found separation through his dribble or baiting Heatles into biting on his fake for a runway to the cup.

At intermission, the Heat was ahead 56-48. New York recovered seven offensive rebounds, turning into seven second-chance points, and picked up five loose balls. But its bench had six points. Miami was in target practice, shooting 52.4% from the field and 44.4% behind the arc. The Heat’s reserve crew had 17.

*****

 

For all your daily fantasy plays, use the code “five” at PrizePicks.com and get your initial deposit matched.

 

*****

Butler was on cruise control until the second half, but he had nine points with four rebounds and four assists. On one of his scores, Love launched a full-court outlet pass that turned into a dunk for JB.

In the third frame, Butler lost Grimes behind Adebayo’s pindown and seized the baseline for a layup plus the foul. Then, he cut left into the paint, assisted by #13’s ghost screen and finished with his left hand as Mitchell Robinson was on his back hip. Under a minute left in the quarter, he isolated Josh Hart in the mid-post and escaped into the paint for a three-foot basket.

In this interval, Butler had five more dimes. He exploited the Knicks ball watching on defense, finding cutters or delivering the pass after double teams.

The visitors logged 76.5% of their attempts in the third quarter, mainly behind RJ Barrett’s four consecutive baskets and Don Julio’s three field goals. Defensively, Randle picked up his third and fourth fouls.

In the fourth quarter, Randle played nearly nine pointless minutes before crashing into Strus and fouling out in crunch time with the Heat up seven.

Both offenses fell apart in the final period. The difference late was the Heat recovering seven offensive rebounds that morphed into seven backbreaking second-chance points and the Knicks couldn’t defend without fouling. Nine penalties sent the hosts to the line for 10 tries, making seven.

Brunson (13) and Barrett (7) were the only Knickerbockers to score in the fourth quarter. Miami only allowed four New York bench points in the second half, too, coming in the third quarter.

The Heat won 109-101 behind Adebayo and Butler’s strongest playoff game together this year.

At the postgame presser, coach Erik Spoelstra praised his leading duo’s production and said they are at the top of the food chain as two-way competitors.

“They can impact and put their fingertips on playoff games, on any given possession, defensively or offensively,” Spo said. “They’ve played in a lot of playoff games together, so we’re following them.”

In the visiting press room, the atmosphere was doom and gloom. Randle was asked about the Knicks getting beat in the offensive rebounding battle. He responded, “Maybe they want it more. That’s been who we are all year, and we got to find a way to step up and make those plays if we want to keep this season alive.”

Paul Castellano had a better chance of being revived outside of Sparks Steak House than the Knicks currently do.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Kim Ng Marlins

Fish Flip?: Three Trades the Surprising Marlins Could Make

The Miami Marlins are currently hovering right around .500 and are seemingly playing the most fun and competitive baseball they have in a long while. For what it’s worth, the Marlins have actually been successful and extremely competitive to any team that’s not from Atlanta or Queens, having won every series against the other opponents up until this point. However, majority owner Bruce Sherman and general manager Kim Ng have promised a playoff baseball team for the citizens of Miami, and although the Marlins have been competitive, they are not quite to that point yet. 

With this being Kim Ng’s final year on contract, and producing lackluster results up until this point, this is her opportunity to go all out and do whatever is necessary to create a winning ballclub in Miami. She has had some amazing additions, such as middle infielder Luis Arraez, relievers like A.J. Puk, Anthony Bender, and Huascar Brazoban. But on her big swings into free agency, such as Avisail Garcia and Jean Segura, she has swung and missed. Look for her this season to take daring trades and risky moves to be able to place a winning ballclub in Miami. If I was in Ng’s shoes, I would make the moves about to be mentioned, and I would make them sooner, rather than later.

 

Trade #1

Miami Receives – Joc Pederson (OF)

San Francisco Receives – George Soriano (RHP) & Joey Wendle (UTL)

 

The Giants are currently in 4th place of the NL West, hovering at 13-17, with a combination of mediocre hitting and poor pitching, especially in the bullpen department. With this trade, San Francisco receives a young reliever who performed admirably in his first taste in the majors, George Soriano, as well as the stereotypical older, gritty, back to basics utility player in Joey Wendle. Meanwhile, Miami receives Joc Pederson, a power lefty bat, which is a much needed boost to the Marlins lineup.

Now, when Miami first received Joey Wendle, they expected him to perform in the utility position, appearing all throughout the infield, giving good AB’s, hitting for a decent clip, and not striking out. Wendle has done just that, as he cut his K’s in half without sacrificing much of his average. Joey’s power, if you’d call it that, has minimized as well, going from 46 XBH in 2022 to 28 XBH in 2023. 

Other part leaving Miami is young reliver George Soriano. In his minimal time in the majors, 7 IP, Soriano pitched to a 2.57 ERA with a 3.36 FIP. The San Francisco Giants bullpen have allowed 68 ER this season, with the only reliable relievers with an ERA below 5.80 being Camillo Doval and Tyler Rogers. A much needed reliever, who’s also under contract for an extended time, for a struggling bullpen.

On the return, Miami receives Joc Pederson, a left handed OF, more suited for a DH role, but a much needed power bat in the Miami lineup. In his two years in San Francisco, Joc Pederson has a 142 OPS+ and a .869 OPS. Miami had struggled heavily with lefties and hit decently against righties in the past, but this season the results have switched. Joc brings a .894 OPS against righties, just further cementing the need for him and his pearls in Miami. 

 

 

Trade #2

Miami Receives – Juan Yepez (IF/OF)

St. Louis Receives – Evan Fitterer (RHP) & Steven Okert (LHP)

 

The St. Louis Cardinals are in a spot that they normally don’t find themselves in, which is in the bottom of the NL Central. Their fans are seemingly hitting the panic button, as their rotation currently holds a 5.39 ERA, with minimal starting pitching in the wings. Their bullpen is slightly better, with a 3.93 ERA, but they lack power with LHP. 

Steven Okert has been a phenomenal signing for Miami since 2021, holding a 3.00 ERA and a 139 ERA+ in his 93 IP since arriving. He also holds 10.6 K/9, but it does come attached to a 4.4 BB/9, which can put him in risky situations. For the most part, Okert leans heavy on his nasty slider to get batters out, adding another strong arm to the pen for St. Louis. As for Miami, with Chargois and Enright nearly returning to their bullpen, they have arms to spare on the market to find improvements on their team. 

Although the Cardinals seemingly need help now for this season, they could deem the season at a loss with how poorly they’ve played in every facet of the game. If so, they could see Evan Fitterer as a good fit(terrer) to be able to bolster their rotation in the coming years. Fitterer is a dominant righty with a ton of movement on his pitches. Recently promoted to AA, Evan has continued his dominance and resurgence this season, holding a 1.69 ERA across A+ and AA with a 10.5 K/9. However, along with Okert, he does have some wildness in his pitches, holding a 4.2 BB/9 in his career in the minor leagues. 

Juan Yepez is a player in an odd spot in St. Louis. He seemed to be the future DH of the Cardinals last season, but with some struggles, lost his place due to the emergence of Nolan Gorman, Lars Nootbar, and Brendan Donovan. In his small time in the majors, Yepez holds a 112 OPS+, along with a 22% K rate, and has even splits between hitting LHP and RHP. Yepez is a player who should be playing consistently in the majors, but finds himself in a logjam to where he can’t get consistent play in the MLB. 

 

Trade #3

Miami Receives – Elias Diaz (C)

Colorado Receives – Anthony Maldonado (RHP) & M.D. Johnson (RHP)

 

The Colorado Rockies and needing pitching is a tale as old as time. The Rockies have found themselves to have a competent offense with young players, but a struggling pitching staff. With this trade, the Rockies receive a near MLB ready reliever in Anthony Maldonado and a AA starter who could easily be in AAA by mid-season, and the MLB by the end of this year or the start of next year in M.D. Johnson.

Anthony Maldonado is a 25 year old reliever who has been shoving for the Jumbo Shrimp. He finds himself carrying a 1.83 ERA with a 14.1 K/9, with only 6 BB in 14.2 IP. He also has finished 9 games out of the 12 he’s appeared in, placing himself as a good future late inning reliever for whatever team he finds himself on.

M.D. Johnson is one of my favorite prospects for the Marlins. He’s an older prospect in Pensacola at age 25, but his growth from his first professional season to now has been phenomenal. So far this season, in 20 IP, he has a 3.60 ERA alongside a 1.10 WHIP with 22 K’s. He has drastically cut down his walks from 63 BB in his first season, to a combined 36 BB in the past two seasons. He can find himself in the majors by the end of the season if he continues his growth.

Elias Diaz has been a consistent .250 hitter his entire career, but this season, he has taken it to the next level, with a slash line of .343/.391/.495, alongside a 8:21 BB:K. The Marlins find themselves as the second worst in the league for offensive statistics at the C position, and Elias finds himself in the top conversations for offensive catchers this season. It is a position of dire need for Miami, and Elias would be an immediate upgrade offensively over Jacob Stallings and Nick Fortes.

Mateo’s Hoop Diary: Jimmy Butler Returns to Lead Heat in Game 3 Win Over the Knicks

Jimmy Butler made up for his missed time in Game 2 by slicing into the lane for a floater and hitting a jumper over a double team to start. He played the entire first quarter, logging 10 points on 55% shooting, with two rebounds and a dime.

The Heat climbed to a 29-21 lead after one interval. Max Strus contributed four out of six makes; he curled around the perimeter for a catch-and-release bomb, finished a break layup after a help-side block, caught Kevin Love’s full-court outlet pass, resulting in a jam and hit a reverse bank shot against drop coverage.

In the first half, the Heat mixed up the matchup on Jalen Brunson with Gabe Vincent as Butler shadowed RJ Barrett. Brunson missed his first five attempts as he was bothered with #2 on his hip. When he managed to zip past Vincent on the baseline or elevate at the elbow for a shot, Strus came in with weak-side help.

Star-J had burned Miami in two straight first halves, but Saturday, the hosts suppressed him to four points on 25% field goal efficiency. When he pulled up from the corner, Butler and Caleb Martin were there to contest. Stepping through the lane for a floater, Butler stalked his man and rejected the ball into Strus’ hands.

At intermission, Adebayo had recorded nine points, extended three possessions via offensive rebounds, and viciously denied Julius Randle’s putback. Miami was up on New York 58-44, as both squads combined to make six 3-pointers in the period.

Jalen Rose, one of the notorious ESPN squares doing the “halftime analysis” show, suggested the weather affected the Knicks, despite the indoor game. I swear, Michael Wilbon was nodding.

“When you’re the road team, you have to pay attention to that heat because it affects the endurance of your muscles…” Rose said.

Rose would have a point if the Heat unethically tampered with the air conditioning system in the arena, making it unbearably hot. But everyone in there sat as cool as a cucumber, except for the players checking in-and-out, or the anxious ones watching on the lines.

In the third quarter, New York restrained Butler from the field but not from invading the charity line for seven perfect attempts. Strus dropped two extra trifectas and broke into the lane for a running jumper.

Five minutes into the frame, Butler drove through the middle, but his lower back made contact with Brunson, thrusting him forward and slightly bending his right ankle on the way down. He played with a limp the rest of the quarter and was briefly used in the fourth because the Knicks never cut its deficit to single digits.

Late in quarter three, Vincent sized up Brunson, but his matchup stepped into his personal space. Vincent pulled up, catching Brunson in the chest and chin with his arm. The refs called a penalty on Miami, but coach Erik Spoelstra used his sideline challenge, and the decision was overturned. Vincent then made three freebies.

In the fourth, the Heat suffocated the Knicks behind the arc by closing out after some drive and kicks, plus staying in front of the ball against some handlers. The Heat only allowed two of ten opposing deep tries to go in for this stretch.

With under eight minutes left, Kyle Lowry backed down Immanuel Quickley in the lane and pivoted past him to give Miami a 22-point lead, its largest of the night, as Butler sat. #22 would soon return for a quick cameo, with the Heat up 14, preventing the Knicks from clawing back in.

Midway through the fourth, Adebayo landed on Quickley’s left ankle, diving for a loose ball. Josh Hart replaced the wounded Knick, and the broadcast caught Quickley slowly limping through the tunnel.

To stretch the advantage back to 15 points, Butler attracted a double when turning past a screen. He maneuvered to the middle, spinning to his right to drop off a pass for Adebayo, unattended in the dunker spot, for his prettiest dish of the afternoon.

The Heat won Game 3 105-86.

At the postgame presser, Butler sat in the chair and answered questions with a hat and pair of black sunglasses on. Not everyone can pull that off. Before rock and roll luminary Tom Petty died, he said wearing shades indoors is an honor you earn. As far as I’m concerned, it’s a privilege Butler can bask in. No Heat player in the team’s history has ever averaged over 34 points a night in the Playoffs through their first seven games like Butler has this year.

When asked about Adebayo’s comments after Game 2, when his teammate blamed himself for the loss, Butler disputed the assessment.

“He did great,” Butler said. “It’s never on one individual… I’m glad that he had a great bounce-back game, as he would call it. We just want him to stay aggressive, be the anchor on the defensive end and be hella aggressive on the offensive end.”

Game 4 is Monday, and the Heat has a bright opportunity to take a commanding 3-1 lead with a dub. Even without Butler at 100%, he is still a significant difference maker that activates the rest of the parts, like the brain sending nerve signals through the body.

Following the Game 3 victory, FanDuel, Caesars and Bet365 Sportsbook have raised the Heat to the second highest odds of winning the eastern conference behind the Celtics.  Now that the wise guys are respecting the club, it is fair to say that the Heat are for real.

 

 

Mateo’s Hoop Diary: Mike Budenholzer Dismissed by Bucks

It’s a shame the basketball gods aren’t real to curse the Milwaukee Bucks with decades of misery.

Thursday, the op canned coach Mike Budenholzer. In his service, the group earned a 39-26 playoff record in five seasons, which included a championship. In that span, his outfit won 271 games in the regular season, third most in franchise history, and lost 120. He was let go while grieving the loss of his brother, who died in a tragic car accident.

Round one against the Heat ended on April 26. It was an unceremonious finale that will haunt the Bucks and its supporters for years. The squad had the top record of 30 teams, led by a man who resembles a demi-god more than a mortal on the court. But he only logged 38% of the minutes in the series. In contrast with Miami’s Jimmy Butler, who recorded 77.5% of the allowed time in round one.

The Bucks are now the sixth first seed in NBA lore to lose to the eighth spot. I suspect future generations won’t be kind to Giannis Antetokounmpo and Bud when dusting off the history books and spewing an ill-informed take about something they never saw. Damn them, from now.

There are people today, scribes, TV personalities, fans and ex-leaguers, ripping the Bucks’ racks off—especially Giannis’s answer when asked if the season was a failure.

“Do you get the promotion every year at your job? So every year your work is a failure? Yes or no? No. Every year you work, you work towards a goal…”

It doesn’t seem like Milwaukee’s’ execs took what he said seriously. The Bucks only permitted Budenholzer eight days before telling him to clean his office. Never mind Giannis was hurt. Budenholzer lost family. When people suffer a loss like that, it takes a long time to recover and think clearly.

Firing him now was classless. Budenholzer treated the team like his blood by not taking off to be with his kin. It wasn’t enough for management. Perhaps they, too, are brainwashed by the toxic ring culture in the league, or a sacrifice was needed for the blame of losing in a historic fashion.

Good coaches don’t grow on trees. Budenholzer was adequate enough and achieved the peak of the profession with the team that hadn’t done it in 50 years. It’s revolting that significant accomplishments are easily forgotten in Milwaukee.

Fun fact: Budenholzer is the first NBA coach to get axed when the one seed loses to the eighth. George Karl (1994), Pat Riley (1999), Avery Johnson (2007), Gregg Popovich (2011) and Tom Thibodeau (2012) all kept their jobs.

In his five years as coach, Budenholzer’s team won the most regular season games of 30 groups at 271. Those 39 playoff wins as a coach are the second-most in Bucks history after Don Nelson. Following Budenholzer in regular season wins is Michael Malone of the Denver Nuggets with 248 dubs.

I don’t expect Budenzholzer to stay on the market long, unless it’s by his choosing. Apart from coaching, he’s a well-rounded dude who can discuss politics, philosophy and economics with anyone.

Budenholzer deserved better from the Bucks. Hopefully, his next team will be more grateful.

Panthers stay focused with series lead ahead of Game 2 against the Leafs

TORONTO — The Florida Panthers are in a position that they haven’t been in for years, decades actually. For the first time since 1997, Florida leads a playoff series 1-0. They are also doing that while being on the road. 

 

For years the Panthers have been chasing teams in a series and for years it didn’t amount to any success. Before last year against the Washington Capitals, Florida hadn’t advanced past the first-round since their run to the Stanley Cup Final in 1996. They also had to chase the Caps in that series after dropping Game 1 at home. 

 

This year’s first-round was similar to that of 2022. Florida dropped Game 1 in Boston, and ended up in a 3-1 series hole before taking three straight from the Bruins to knock out the Presidents’ Trophy winners. 

 

On Tuesday night in Toronto, Florida walked out of the arena in a position this roster hasn’t been in before – they led the series after Game 1.


Panthers’ defenseman Gustav Forsling has made the playoffs in all of three seasons with the team. While Forsling and the Cats lead early in the series, they still go into Game 2 with the same mentality that they’ve had all playoffs. 

 

“We want to have the same mindset always, but we are still hunting here,” said Forsling on Thursday. “We want to get two wins here and go home to Florida.”

 

Road teams have dominated so far in the Stanley Cup Playoffs and Florida is no different. The Panthers won four of their five games on the road entering Thursday night, with those four coming consecutively.

 

“We like it, we like to be the underdogs and starting on the road is not a bad thing for us, it seems like,” Forsling added. 

 

Ever since the Panthers started their miraculous turnaround in Toronto last month to sneak into the playoffs, the team has been playing freely and it’s probably because nobody thought they’d be in this position. 

 

“You look at a year like last year, [it was] so easy for so long, then you look at a year like this year, [we were] really trying for so long,  I think we’ve grown a lot,” said Sam Reinhart. “The pressure isn’t really there for us, we’re just showing up and playing and we’re loving doing it beside one another.”

 

“Every night’s a Game 7 for us and it really has been that for a while.”

 

Every game being a Game 7 has been echoed throughout the Panthers room, at least to the media, since they were down 3-1 to Boston. The players and the coaching staff have been saying that a lot, even with the Panthers holding an early series lead in Toronto. 

 

“We’re trying to get to Game 7 in every series we can,” Panthers Head Coach Paul Maurice said in Toronto on Thursday. “This isn’t a marathon for us, we’re not here for two months, we’re here for tonight.” 

 

The Panthers will try to take a 2-0 series lead tonight in Toronto before they head back to Sunrise for their home stand for Games 3&4. Puck drop is at 7:00 p.m. ET.

————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————-

Bet on NHL player props on Prize Picks. New users use code: “five” to match your initial deposit for up to $100.