5 Keys to Victory on Sunday for Dolphins as Playoffs Hang by a Thread

The Miami Dolphins’ postseason hopes are hanging by a thread, but threads are strong enough to hold miracles. After a gut-wrenching loss to the Houston Texans, Miami’s playoff odds have plummeted to a daunting 6%, per The New York Times’ simulator. Yet, hope endures. With a favorable remaining schedule and some outside help, the Dolphins could be one Sunday closer to staying alive in the playoff race.

Here’s a breakdown of what Miami needs to do against the 49ers this week, plus a glance at how the rest of the league can assist in their improbable playoff push.

1. Stifle San Francisco’s Struggling Offense

The 49ers come into this matchup as a shadow of the team that once appeared Super Bowl-bound. With a 6-8 record and Christian McCaffrey sidelined most of the season, San Francisco’s offense is running on fumes. The Dolphins’ defense, fresh off a strong showing against Houston, has to replicate that energy. Pressure on quarterback Brock Purdy and dominance in the trenches will be key to shutting down a banged-up Niners squad.

2. Win the Ground Game

Miami’s rushing attack, led by the dynamic De’Von Achane, has been one of its most consistent offensive weapons. Against a 49ers defense that still boasts talent, the Dolphins will need a steady dose of Achane and company to keep drives alive and the clock moving. A balanced attack will also keep the pressure off Tua Tagovailoa, who’s struggled in recent weeks.

3. Protect Tua at All Costs

San Francisco’s Nick Bosa may be the most disruptive defender Miami faces all year. With Terron Armstead anchoring the offensive line, the Dolphins must prioritize keeping Tua upright. Quick passes, pre-snap motion, and max protection sets will be crucial to neutralizing Bosa and the Niners’ pass rush.

4. Capitalize on Red Zone Opportunities

Against Houston, Miami’s red zone woes came back to haunt them. The Dolphins can’t afford to leave points on the board this week. Execution inside the 20-yard line could be the difference between a win and another loss that sends their playoff hopes spiraling.

5. Play Like There’s No Tomorrow

At 6-8, Miami’s playoff destiny is out of its hands. Winning out is non-negotiable, but the team needs to play with the urgency of a team that knows its postseason fate could vanish at any moment. Every drive, every snap, and every decision must reflect that desperation.

The Playoff Picture: Hope Hinges on Help

While beating San Francisco is step one, the Dolphins will need a series of favorable outcomes across the league to truly revive their playoff chances. Here’s what to watch for:

Cheer for Pittsburgh: Baltimore’s playoff spot could be vulnerable if they falter down the stretch. A Steelers win this week would go a long way in giving Miami a backdoor scenario into the playoffs.

Pray for Tennessee: The Colts share Miami’s 6-8 record but hold the tiebreaker. A Titans win would further sink Indy’s hopes, clearing another obstacle for Miami.

Hanging By a Thread, But Hanging On

With a 37% chance of making the playoffs if they win out, the Dolphins’ path is steep but not insurmountable. A victory against San Francisco would not only keep them alive but inject much-needed confidence into a team desperately searching for answers.

The odds are long, but Miami’s season isn’t over yet. All it takes is a win—and a little help.