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Goldie’s NFL Best Bets Week 11: Backing the ‘Boys

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Goldie:

All Time Record: 211-109-1          

Vs. Spread: 152-165-1

 

21-22 Season:  85-54-1               

Vs. Spread: 63-76-1

 

Week 10 Record : 6-6-1                 

Vs. Spread: 4-9

 

Guarantee All Time: 13-11       

21-22 Season: 4-6

 

Upset All Time: 12-11              

21-22 Season: 3-7

 

Crazy Uncle Jeff 

All Time: 29-8              

21-22 Season: 13-7       

Week 10: 0-1

 

Goldie’s Guarantee

Green Bay Packers (8-2) @ Minnesota Vikings (4-5)

Vegas Picks: GB -1

Goldie’s Take: Packers Win 24-13

Picking Green Bay in this divisional matchup for a number of reasons. First, the Packers defense is really good this season, holding Seattle to a goose egg on the scoreboard for the first time in Russell Wilson’s career last week. Also, Minnesota is wildly inconsistent this season, one week their losing to Cooper Rush and the Cowboys, and the next thing you know they’re beating the Chargers on the road. Never know which Vikings team is going to show up. And most importantly, reigning MVP Aaron Rodgers has been on a tear this season, “He’s a BAAAD MAANN”. Packers win this NFC North showdown, I GUARANTEE IT! 

 

Goldie’s UPSET of the Week

Crazy Uncle Jeff’s Lock of the Week: DAL +2.5

Dallas Cowboys (7-2) @ Kansas City Chiefs (6-4)

Vegas Picks: KC -2.5

Goldie’s Take: Cowboys Win 33-30

After a few down weeks from both myself and Crazy Uncle Jeff, we’re going for a big bounce back this week. Jeffy has cooked up THREE LOCKS for you all, and one of them also happens to be the UPSET of the week. We can all agree that the Chiefs this season haven’t looked like the Chiefs we’ve grown accustomed to. One big win against a chaotic Raiders team isn’t going to convince me that “the Chiefs are back”. And on the other side, the Cowboys have significantly outperformed expectations this season. Couldn’t ask for more from Dak and that star studded offense, and the ‘Boys defense has also substantially improved from last season. Cowboys go into KC and UPSET the Chiefs. How ‘Bout Dem Cowboys!

 

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Crazy Uncle Jeff’s Lock of the Week: BAL -4.5

Baltimore Ravens (6-3) @ Chicago Bears (3-6)

Vegas Picks: BAL -4.5

Goldie’s Take: Ravens Win 26-20

The Ravens look to bounce back after that horrid performance they displayed at the hands of the Dolphins last Thursday night. After missing back to back practices this week, Lamar Jackson was back out there Friday, so Ravens fans (And LJ fantasy owners) can breathe a sigh of relief. A few trends worth noting in this one: Chicago is on an abysmal 0-7 skid straight up AND against the spread when coming off a bye since 2014. Also, Lamar Jackson is a perfect 12-0 versus NFC teams. All these trends continue this weekend as Baltimore leaves the Chi with a W. The Crazy Uncle approves.

 

Crazy Uncle Jeff’s Lock of the Week: CAR -3.5

Washington Football Team (3-6) @ Carolina Panthers (5-5)

Vegas Picks: CAR -3.5

Goldie’s Take: Panthers Win 23-20

Big storyline surrounding this one is Cam Newton’s first start back in Carolina. Fitting that his first start back is against former Panthers head coach Ron Rivera. Rivera drafted Newton, and the duo even made it to a Super Bowl together in 2016. After coaching Newton for years, Rivera should have a pretty good idea about how to stop him, but if you ask Jeffy about it, he’ll say “Ron Rivera couldn’t stop a high school team.” SuperCam and the Panthers get an emotional win in a venue call!

 

Rest of Week 11:

 

Indianapolis Colts (5-5) @ Buffalo Bills (6-3)

Vegas Picks: BUF -7

Goldie’s Take: Bills Win 30-24

After their 1-4 start, Indy has rejuvenated their season by winning four out of their last five. This puts them back at .500, right outside the AFC playoff picture. However, this week they have arguably their toughest test so far, having to go on the road and face the mighty Buffalo Bills. Feeding star RB Johnathan Taylor is a recipe for Colts to stay in this one, but I trust Buffs to take care of business at home. 

 

Detroit Lions (0-8-1) @ Cleveland Browns (5-5)

Vegas Picks: CLE -11.5

Goldie’s Take: Browns Win 28-17

Browns are in the midst of a streaky 2-4 slide, but get a much needed boost to their offense with star RB Nick Chubb set to return. Even with the status of QB Baker Mayfiled up in the air, I still have Browns holding on for the win at home. Lowly Lions should have a very hard time moving the ball on Myles Garrett and stingy Cleveland D, and Chubb should have a big day slicing right through Motown’s weak defensive unit. Browns get the win at home to creep back above .500. 

 

Houston Texans (1-8) @ Tennessee Titans (8-2)

Vegas Picks: TEN -10

Goldie’s Take: Titans WIn 30-17

No matter what the NFL has thrown at them, the Titans have responded. Even without superstar RB Derrick Henry, the Titans find themselves winners of six in a row sitting at 8-2 with the best record in the AFC. On the other side, Houston has lost 8 straight and cannot wait for this season to be over. Both of those trends continue as Titans roll past Texans. 

 

San Francisco 49ers (4-5) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (2-7)

Vegas Picks: SF -6

Goldie’s Take: 49ers Win 24-20

The Niners salvaged their season with a very impressive upset of the Rams on MNF last week. Their defense gave the star studded Rams a very hard time, and they finally looked like the Niners team that was in the Super Bowl just two seasons ago. However, expect the Jags to keep this one close as they’ve been trending upwards lately, 2-2 in their last four games, including a major upset of the Bills a few weeks ago. Not to mention San Fran could be on letdown watch after such a monumental win last week against the Rams. Picking Niners to get the win… but banking on a Jacksonville home cover. 

 

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Miami Dolphins (3-7) @ New York Jets (2-7) 

Vegas Picks: MIA -3.5

Goldie’s Take: Dolphins Win 23-15

Lots of factors pointing to a Dolphins win on Sunday. Fins have picked up the pieces a bit lately winning two in a row, including a shocking upset of the Ravens on TNF. Meanwhile, the Jets enter this one after losing two back to back, including getting annihilated at home by the Bills last week. Also, Fins have owned the Jets of late, 8-2 in their last ten and 3-1 under Brian Flores. Old, stationary Joe Flacco should have a tough time dealing with ‘Fins blitz-heavy defense. Expect a low-scoring game, as Tua should be able to game-manage Miami to their third straight victory. 

 

New Orleans Saints (5-4) @ Philadelphia Eagles (4-6)

Vegas Picks: PHI -2

Goldie’s Take: Eagles WIn 27-23

Big NFC playoff implications in this matchup. Currently Saints hold one of the final Wild Card spots in the NFC, with the Eagles lurking right behind them. Saints are losers of two in a row after their big upset of the Bucs a few weeks ago. Meanwhile, the Eagles enter this one after destroying the Broncos on the road. It seems Philly’s offense has finally found its identity as a running team rather than a passing team. Philly is 0-4 at home this year, while the Saints are on an impressive 16-4 road heater. Both of those trends are due to come to an end this weekend as Philadelphia finally gets to see their Eagles fly high with a home win.

 

Cincinnati Bengals (5-4) @ Las Vegas Raiders (5-4)

Vegas Picks: CIN -1

Goldie’s Take: Bengals Win 28-26

After red hot starts, both of these teams have dropped their last two, and are starting to lose their validity. The Raiders offense hasn’t looked the same since the departure of speedy WR Henry Ruggs III, and Bengals have had two weeks to stew after getting demolished at home by division rival Cleveland. However, Cincy does have a significant prep/rest edge as they’re coming off a bye, and the Raiders played Sunday night. This game is a complete toss up in my opinion, but give me Burrow and the Bengals to steal one on the road. 

 

Arizona Cardinals (8-2) @ Seattle Seahawks (3-6)

Vegas Picks: ARI -2.5

Goldie’s Take: Seahawks Win 28-24

For the third straight week Cardinals QB Kyler Murray is listed as questionable heading into Sunday, and they have already ruled out WR Deandre Hopkins. The past two weeks we have seen Kyler go to inactive status and backup Colt McCoy has seen the past two starts. So Kyler’s “questionable” designation will truly be a gametime decision. Also, Seattle is hanging by a thread in the NFC playoff race and a loss could pretty much end their season. Last week we saw Russell Wilson get shutout for the first time in his career. I’m expecting a huge bounce back performance from Russ and this Seahawks offense. Also making this one a bit of a venue call as Seattle is still one of the most hostile environments to play in the NFL. UPSET!

 

Pittsburgh Steelers (5-3-1) @ Los Angeles Chargers (5-4)

Vegas Picks: LAC -6

Goldie’s Take: Chargers Win 31-14

After the hot start, the Bolts have started to slip a bit, losing three out of their last four. However, this week they have a SNF home game against the Steelers, who just tied the winless Lions. Big Ben has been ruled out for this contest, and Pittsburgh already has a hard enough time scoring points with Big Ben. It very well could be a disaster without him. I’m fully expecting the Chargers to get off the cold streak and steamroll the Steelers in LA.

 

New York Giants (3-6) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-3)

Vegas Picks: TB -10.5

Goldie’s Take: Buccaneers Win 30-20

The Bucs have been upset in their last two games by teams that they should have beaten. Is it time to start to feel nervous in Tampa? I don’t think so. Yes, those two losses were a bad look, but you’re still 6-3 and completely in control of your own destiny. Oh, and you have the greatest football player to ever play on your team named Tom Brady. The Bucs finally come home on Monday night, and they’ll get back on track with a win. However I could see G-Men slipping in under that hefty point spread. 

Three trade deadline ideas for the Miami Dolphins

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The NFL trade deadline will take place on Tuesday, Nov. 2 at 4 p.m. ET. Some trades may not be announced until after 4 p.m. ET, but all must be agreed upon and filed to the league office before that time.

With the Trade deadline days away lets go ahead and speculate some moves the Miami Dolphins could make.

Spoiler: this article does not include Deshaun Watson.

WR Devante Parker and a 6th for OT Andre Dillard and a 5th

When the Philadelphia Eagles drafted Andre Dillard with their first pick in the 2019 NFL Draft, he was seen as one of the top two offensive tackles by many draft experts. However, he hasn’t panned out his draft stock yet.

There have been reports about Dillard being shopped around two AFC teams and would not surprise me  if the Dolphins are one of the two. Desperately, the Dolphins need help along the offensive line. He might not be the most exciting name but he becomes a serviceable starter on a putrid Dolphins offensive line.

Dillard, a backup LT for the Eagles, filled in for an injured Jordan Mailata and looked decent. Dillard, could play LT or RT depending on what the coaching staff prefers.

He has been one of the better OL for the Eagles in his limited playing time and was the highest graded player against the Carolina Panthers.

 

Devante Parker on the other hand has not been able to suit up for the Dolphins much this season. When healthy, he is a valuable weapon in the passing game. Parker could help Jalen Hurts’ development and be a veteran voice in the WR room.

There have been rumors about Devante Parker potentially mulling retirement. It would not be surprising if he is indeed the player as soft tissue injuries have made him sit out multiple games. 

A change of scenery may help Parker get back into his groove. Also, helps the Dolphins to dump of his salary and recoup it for 2022 Free agency. 

 

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WR Albert Wilson for LB Zack Baun

The Saints are desperate for WR help signing Free Agent Kenny Stills. Micheal Thomas has yet to return from IR, Tre’Quan Smith is coming off of IR. Mickey Loomis has to be on the phone for a WR that can stretch the field.

Albert Wilson can be that guy for the remaining 10 games for New Orleans. Wilson has not seen the field much as a Dolphin even with a stellar training camp. It seems as if Miami has been holding onto him as a trade asset.

Baun, the former Badger LB, has been relegated to special teams, and made some major strides during training camp and preseason for his development. Unfortunately, his game tape does not give a strong sample size to see his productivity. Still, Baun is capable of being a strong linebacker in the league.

The former 3rd round pick is speedy around the edges and active in pursuit against the run and does a good job hugging the line of scrimmage. Not to mention, he can cover the flats and hooks decently.

Baun will be helpful in special teams value and Duke Riley could be seen as a casualty, Baun is a cheaper replacement, still on his rookie deal, on special teams and a valuable 3rd down pass rush specialist. He reminds me a little bit of Kyle Van Noy, but lacks experience in this scheme.

OT Austin Jackson and CB Noah Igbinoghene for OT Taylor Decker

This may indeed cause an uproar for Dolphins and Lions fans. If a deal like this is made, Chris Grier and the Dolphins publicly admit that the selections and development of Jackson and Igbinoghene have been a failure.

On Detroit’s end, moving on from Decker shows that the Lions are fully committed to a rebuild and want young cheap players that they can mold to fit into their vision. Decker is in the first year of a four-year, $59.65 million contract extension ($29 million guaranteed), which shouldn’t be discounted in any trade speculation with cap numbers above $17.5 million for 2022-2024. 

Detroit can clean out big cap dollars in those three seasons with a trade. They can also start the future with Penei Sewell at left tackle now, not just as a fill-in for Decker as it has been so far this season.

Furthermore, Miami is able to move on from Austin Jackson and fortify their offensive line; thus to better protect Tua Tagovailoa and help the run game. A better offensive line will allow the Dolphins offense to score points on the board and help their defense. 

Decker may not be able to play out of the gate with a finger injury, but he locks up a spot for the future and bring veteran leadership the Dolphins have been missing for some time.

As for Igbinoghene, he has not been able to see the field much recently. A good athlete that is around the ball at all times cannot seem to make the plays after two years of development from this coaching staff. 

While learning behind one of the best corners in the game, Igbinoghene has not been what the Dolphins have hoped for. A change of scenery in Detroit to learn under former DB coach Aaron Glenn would help his development. It will also have him partner up with Jeffrey Okudah

This also opens up avenues for UDFA Trill Williams to possibly get more playing time, he was active against the Jaguars and made a few plays.

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Goldie’s Week 7 Best Bets: Lamar, Mahomes Step Up

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Goldie:

All Time Record: 184-85          

Vs. Spread: 132-133-1

 

21-22 Season:  58-30               

Vs. Spread: 43-44-1

 

Week 6 Record : 9-4                 

Vs. Spread: 8-5

 

Guarantee All Time: 13-7       

21-22 Season: 4-2

 

Upset All Time: 12-7              

21-22 Season: 3-3

 

Crazy Uncle Jeff 

All Time: 27-4              

21-22 Season: 11-3       

Week 6: 2-1

 

Goldie’s Guarantee

Carolina Panthers (3-3) @ New York Giants (1-5)

Vegas Picks: CAR -3

Goldie’s Take: Panthers Win 24-16

The Giants are clearly in rebuilding mode, as they can’t seem to get anything going. In the past two weeks alone they have been outscored by a combined 51 points. On the flipside, Carolina has just had some bad breaks. They are a .500 football team who is still playoff hopeful. Even without CMC, expect the Panthers offense to get going against a shaky New York defense. Big Cats stop the losing skid, and get back on track in New York, I GUARANTEE IT!

 

Goldie’s UPSET of the Week

New Orleans Saints (3-2) @ Seattle Seahawks (2-4)

Vegas Picks: NO -4.5

Goldie’s Take: Seahawks Win 26-23

The Vegas betting lines are giving the Saints the edge simply because of the injury to Russell Wilson, which is fair. However, I’ve liked what I’ve seen so far from backup Geno Smith. Pete Carroll is a great offensive coach who can devise a game plan for a QB like Smith to succeed. Plus Seattle on Monday Night Football is one of the most hostile environments to play. Not to mention the Jameis Winston led Saints are one of the most unpredictable teams in the NFL. Give me ‘Hawks to beat the Saints on MNF. UPSET!

 

Crazy Uncle Jeff’s Lock of the Week: KC -4.5

Kansas City Chiefs (3-3) @ Tennessee Titans (4-2)

Vegas Picks: KC -4.5

Goldie’s Take: Chiefs Win 37-32

The Chiefs looked a lot more like the Chiefs we’re used to seeing last week in their rout of the Washington Football Team. Enough so that Crazy Uncle Jeffy has bought back into the KC hype and is picking them as the first of his two LOCKS this weekend. However, the Titans enter this one with some swagger as well, after defeating the almighty Buffalo Bills on Monday night. Expect a lot of points in this one, as both teams have high-powered offenses, but pick Mahomes to outlast Tannehill in a shootout. 

 

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Crazy Uncle Jeff’s Lock of the Week: GB -8

Washington Football Team (2-4) @ Green Bay Packers (5-1)

Vegas Picks: GB -8

Goldie’s Take: Packers Win 32-21

The Packers enter this one red hot and show zero signs of slowing down. They’ve won five straight and Rodgers is back playing at an MVP level. No Names offense should have a very hard time trying to keep pace with Green Bay’s highly potent attack. Plus Rodgers historically wins over 80% of the time in Lambeau. Cheeseheads cruise to 6-1 in this one. Never fade the Crazy Uncle

 

Rest of Week 7:

 

Cincinnati Bengals (4-2) @ Baltimore Ravens (5-1)

Vegas Picks: BAL -6

Goldie’s Take: Ravens Win 28-24

Everyone’s talking about Kyler Murray and Dak Presscott, but Lamar Jackson is quietly having an MVP type season himself. He’s top ten in both passing and rushing yards, (something unheard of for a quarterback) and his dual threat ability as a quarterback continues to leave defenses guessing. Not to mention Baltimore’s defensive unit is also very strong, making them a near impossible matchup for any team. Ravens win the AFC North battle at home. 

 

Atlanta Falcons (2-3) @ Miami Dolphins (1-5)

Vegas Picks: ATL -2.5

Goldie’s Take: Falcons Win 24-23

The Deshaun Watson to Miami rumors began heating up again this week (for what seems like the one millionth time), as the ‘Fins prepare to host the Falcons. I would imagine Tua’s confidence is at an all time low following a loss to Jags and hearing all these rumors flying around. Plus it doesn’t help that Atlanta is coming off a bye and has had two weeks to prepare for this game. Usually in a toss up game like this, I’d take the home team but there’s just too much uncertainty in Miami’s locker room right now. Dirty Birds get back to .500 in Miami, as Fins continue to circle the drain. 

 

New York Jets (1-4) @ New England Patriots (2-4)

Vegas Picks: NE -6.5

Goldie’s Take: Patriots Win 26-14

Guarantee committee took a hard look at this one before deciding to go in another direction, but by the numbers the Patriots are virtually a lock to win this game. To start, the Pats have won 11 straight games against the Jets. Also, Bill Belichick is the king of beating rookie quarterbacks. Plus these Pats have already proven that they can beat this Jets team by winning 25-6 in their first contest in New York in week 2. Another advantage for New England in this one is the fact that the game is at home. Pats coast to a divisional win in Foxboro this Sunday. 

 

Philadelphia Eagles (2-4) @ Las Vegas Raiders (4-2)

Vegas Picks: LV -3

Goldie’s Take: Raiders Win 27-23

In most of the Raiders wins this season, it has been their high powered offense who has shouldered most of the load. However, in their 34-24 win over the Broncos last week, the defense looked fantastic, hitting Teddy Bridgewater 17 times and producing 4 takeaways. The Eagles offense should have a tough time running the ball against this front seven. Raiders take care of business at home and improve to 5-2. 

 

Detroit Lions (0-6) @ Los Angeles Rams (5-1)

Vegas Picks: LAR -15

Goldie’s Take: Rams Win 34-17

Not much to analyze here. The Rams have the Lions beat in almost every facet of the game. However, one interesting storyline is Jared Goff’s return to LA. Revenge game? I don’t think so. Rams roll past Lions at home. 

 

Chicago Bears (3-3) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-1)

Vegas Picks: TB -12.5

Goldie’s Take: Buccaneers Win 30-20

Brady and the Bucs got a little extra time to prepare for this one following their Thursday night win against the Eagles. A much closer game than many people anticipated, and I think this one could play a similar tune. The Bears beat Tampa last season in a game where Chicago’s defense gave Brady and the Bucs fits. I wouldn’t be surprised if Chicago stays in this one as well, but still picking the GOAT to win at home. 

 

Houston Texans (1-5) @ Arizona Cardinals (6-0)

Vegas Picks: ARI -17.5

Goldie’s Take: Cardinals Win 35-14

The ‘72 Dolphins are going to have to wait at least another week to say cheers as the only unbeaten team ever, because this one is a mismatch across the board. Kyler Murray has the Cards playing at an elite level this season, as he’s the favorite for MVP. Meanwhile, the most attention that the Texans have received is surrounding a possible trade including star quarterback Deshaun Watson, who has sat out the first 6 games of the season with hopes to be traded. Cardinals coast to 7-0 at home. 

 

Indianapolis Colts (2-4) @ San Francisco 49ers (2-3)

Vegas Picks: SF -4

Goldie’s Take: 49ers Win 22-20

Both of these teams are very average in my opinion, and Jimmy G very well might be playing for his job this weekend. If San Fran fails to move the ball against the abysmal Colts pass defense, then Garoppolo’s time with the Niners could be coming to an end. The Niners have had two weeks to prepare for this one as they’re coming off a bye, plus at home on Sunday night should definitely give this team a boost. However Indy is coming off a 31-3 divisional win, so I wouldn’t be shocked if they upset this one. Safer play is to take San Fran to win at home.  

 

Where the Gators Stand after 7 Games

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After a devastating loss against unranked LSU last weekend, Florida’s record fell to 4-3 when just a month ago, they had chances to beat then top-ranked Alabama. So, where did everything go wrong?

 

Defensive coordinator Todd Grantham certainly hasn’t helped matters with his defense allowing 454 yards against a struggling LSU offense, with 287 of those yards coming from Tyrion Davis Pierce’s rushing yards with a total of 3 TDS. But it’s more than just the defense. For example, take the Kentucky game, where playcalling was weak and special teams struggled. Florida is also dead-last in the SEC in yards per kick return.

 

And then there’s the quarterback situation where Emory Jones has struggled the past few games. Anthony Richardson brought life back into the offense when he replaced Jones in the LSU game, accounting for three key touchdowns and high energy that was simply unmatched. He did have two interceptions which is understandable as he is only a redshirt freshman compared to Jones, who has been a part of the offense for four seasons now and is making interceptions that a player with that much experience should not make. 

 

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And in the most recent news, Florida lost a commitment for the 2022 class from 4-star linebacker, Shemar James. I can’t blame him when Florida’s defense is subpar and Todd Grantham’s contract is up at the end of this season. Many fans are calling for his firing which has gone back to the end of last year. 

 

Even more than that, many Florida fans on Twitter are finding tweets from current and former players who are disgruntled with Todd Grantham and Head Coach Dan Mullen. You can see easily in recent press conferences that Dan Mullen doesn’t have the same fire and passion for winning as he did back in his first two seasons at Florida. Midway into Mullen’s fourth season, sitting at 4-3 overall and 2-3 in the SEC, there’s definitely some cause for concern. We’ll see what happens next when Florida travels to Jacksonville to take on top-ranked Georgia on October 30th at 3:30 pm.

 

Let us know your thoughts below.

Goldie’s Week 3 Picks: Betting on Josh Allen, Russell Wilson… and Jacoby Brissett

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Goldie:

All Time Record: 144-67          Vs. Spread: 104-104

21-22 Season:  18-12                Vs. Spread: 15-15

Week 2 Record : 9-6                 Vs. Spread: 6-9

Guarantee All Time: 10-6         21-22 Season: 1-1

Upset All Time: 10-5                 21-22 Season: 1-1

 

Crazy Uncle Jeff 

All Time: 19-2              21-22 Season: 3-1       Week 2: 2-0

 

Goldie’s Guarantee

Seattle Seahawks (1-1) @ Minnesota Vikings (0-2)

Vegas Picks: SEA -1.5

Goldie’s Take: Seahawks Win 31-20

Although the Vikings are desperate for a win and at home, I’m still not comfortable betting against Russell Wilson. Especially considering Seattle is coming off a heartbreaking loss to Tennessee. Russ and the ‘Hawks bounce back and get a win in Minnesota… I GUARANTEE IT!

 

Upset of the Week

Crazy Uncle Jeff’s Lock of the Week: GB +3

Green Bay Packers (1-1) @ San Francisco 49ers (2-0)

Vegas Picks: SF -3

Goldie’s Take: Packers Win 30-24

For the third consecutive week Crazy Uncle is riding with the Packers. Rodgers has never been one to fold in primetime games, plus he’s still salty about the Niners passing on him in the draft years ago. Rodgers makes the Niners pay in an offensive showdown! UPSET!

 

Crazy Uncle Jeff’s Lock of the Week: BUF -7

Washington Football Team (1-1) @ Buffalo Bills (1-1)

Vegas Picks: BUF -7

Goldie’s Take: Bills Win 24-13

Along with not having a team name, Washington also decides its best not to have a quarterback. Heinicke is going to have a very tough time against a defense that just last week held the Dolphins to a goose egg. Bills stay hot and “circle the wagons” at home this Sunday

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Arizona Cardinals (2-0) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (0-2)

Vegas Picks: ARI -7.5

Goldie’s Take: Cardinals Win 36-21

Sorry to say it, but it’s going to be another long season for Jags fans. Kyler and the Cards are going to have a field day on this poor Jags D. ‘Zona stays undefeated with a beatdown in Jacksonville. 

 

Baltimore Ravens (1-1) @ Detroit Lions (0-2)

Vegas Picks:

Goldie’s Take: Ravens Win 31-17

Although I do admire the fight of this feisty Lions team, there’s no way they beat the Ravens this week. Baltimore is riding high after a momentous win against KC last week. Expect that momentum to carry right on into this one for a ‘Birds win. 

 

Indianapolis Colts (0-2) @ Tennessee Titans (1-1)

Vegas Picks: TEN -5

Goldie’s Take: Titans Win 28-24

The Titans looked a lot more like the Titans last week, feeding King Henry 35 carries for 182 yards and a TD. This guy is a monster. Expect a similar game plan this weekend against a desperate Colts team. Titans win a close divisional matchup at home. 

 

New Orleans Saints (1-1) @ New England Patriots (1-1)

Vegas Picks: NE -2.5

Goldie’s Take: Patriots Win 23-20

Jamies and the Saints came way back down to earth last week after obliterating the Packers in week 1. Usually I would take the Saints in a game like this, but they’ve been living out of a hotel for a few weeks now due to the hurricane that struck their hometown. Plus the Pats are at home. Safe play is the pats in this one, although I do expect Saints to keep it close. Venue call.

 

Los Angeles Chargers (1-1) @ Kansas City Chiefs (1-1)

Vegas Picks: KC -6.5

Goldie’s Take: Chiefs Win 40-27

Can you name a more unlucky professional sports franchise other than the LA Chargers? Last week a bad call cost them a win against the ‘Boys, and now they have to go into Kansas City to play an angry Chiefs team. Good luck. Patty and the Chiefs put on a show and get a divisional win for the home fans. 

 

Atlanta Falcons (0-2) @ New York Giants (0-2)

Vegas Picks: NYG -2.5

Goldie’s Take: Falcons Win 28-26

Only 0-2 vs 0-2 battle going on this weekend, and once again I’m puzzled on who to pick for the Atlanta game. This one seems like a pick ’em for me, so I’m going with the more experienced QB. Give me Matty ice and the Birds to pull off a road UPSET this weekend. 

 

Chicago Bears (1-1) @ Cleveland Browns (1-1)

Vegas Picks: CLE -7

Goldie’s Take: Browns Win 31-20

Rookie QB making his first career start against one of the best defenses in the league, AND it’s on the road in the DAWG POUND? The kid is going to struggle. Once again I say the Browns are legit this season. Brownies cruise to a victory at home

 

Cincinnati Bengals (1-1) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1)

Vegas Picks: PIT -3

Goldie’s Take: Bengals Win 24-23

Here I go again picking the Bengals to upset for the second consecutive week. I see promise in this Cincy team, the offense has proven they can really move the ball in spurts. They just need to put it all together. Plus Big Ben and TJ Watt both iffy to play… could be just enough to put the Bengals over the hump for a road UPSET!

 

Miami Dolphins (1-1) @ Las Vegas Raiders (2-0)

Vegas Picks: LV -3.5

Goldie’s Take: Dolphins Win 21-19

Miami bias may be kicking in a bit on this pick, but hear me out. Yes, Tua is out, but how much of a downgrade really is Brissett from Tua. Brissett has proven he can win games in this league, plus he’ll be far more prepared for this one after taking first team reps all week in practice. I think the Raiders get knocked off their high horse this weekend as the ‘Fins D looks to steal them one on the road. UPSET!

 

New York Jets (0-2) @ Denver Broncos (2-0)

Vegas Picks: DEN -10

Goldie’s Take: Broncos Win 26-13

Denver has been gift wrapped the easiest first 3 games of any NFL team this season. Both New York teams and rebuilding Jacksonville. Broncos will get the win at home and improve to 3-0, but I can’t regard them as “legitimate” until they beat a good team. 

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-0) @ Los Angeles Rams (2-0)

Vegas Picks: TB -1.5

Goldie’s Take: Rams Win 30-28

Heavyweight bout on SNF includes the only 2-0 vs 2-0 matchup this week. Both of these teams have come out the gates ROLLIN. This very well could be an early season preview of the NFC championship. I think Matt Stafford is anxious to perform on the big stage after all of those years wasting away in Detroit. Plus, the home field advantage should play a factor in this one. Rams win a close one on Sunday night. 

 

Philadelphia Eagles (1-1) @ Dallas Cowboys (1-1)

Vegas Picks: DAL -3.5

Goldie’s Take: Cowboys Win 38-27

Interesting stat in this one: ‘Boys have lost 7 consecutive primetime games, whereas the Eagles are 4-1 in their past 5 Monday nights. I expect this game to serve as a trend breaker as I predict the Cowboys offense to score early and score often in this one. Cowboys win in a Monday night shootout. HOW ‘BOUT DEM COWBOYS!

 

Tua Tagovailoa made his debut in a brief appearance, but the big story of the Miami Dolphins is their rise as a playoff contender.

Quick Takes after the Dolphins’ Debacle

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35-0… The score of the Miami Dolphins last game. That’s right. The Dolphins worst shutout loss to the Buffalo Bills OF ALL TIME. Although it’s difficult to see anything other than downsides from this game, I will provide 3 of the biggest ups and downs from this past two weeks for the Dolphins.

Let’s start with the 3 worst parts of the past two weeks.

1.      The Offensive Line.

That’s it. The offensive line left nothing to be desired on Sunday. Our O-Line gave up 6 sacks, 12 QB hits, and allowed Tua Tagovailoa to get injured.

2.      Our run defense.

We allowed 82 yards, 1 TD, and a 6.3 average per rush attempt for DEVIN SINGLETARY. Keep in mind, Devin Singletary only rushed for 154 yards all year last year. We allowed him to get more than half of that in just one week. We also allowed Zack Moss to score 2 rushing touchdowns. This week was overall a horrible display of our run defense.

3.      Butterfingers

Over the past two weeks, the Dolphins wide receivers have dropped 6 passes, muffed a punt, and fumbled once. In my opinion, the worst drop of our season so far was Devante Parker’s drop in the end zone. Considering he is arguably our best receiver, dropping an easy touchdown is unacceptable and if he must improve on that.

Continuing with the 3 best parts of the past two weeks,

1.      X MAN!!

Xavien Howard is proving that he’s worth the extra incentives the Dolphins provided for him this season. In week 1, Howard caused a fumble, and in week 2, he got an impressive interception. When the play is analyzed, you can see that Howard somehow perfectly covered a slant route (the most difficult route in all of football to cover), and he also reached in front Stefon Diggs (a top 3 receiver in the league) to pick it off.

2.      Jevon Holland

Through the first two weeks of the season, rookie Jevon Holland is the highest rated rookie of the year. Against the bills, Jevon Holland had three tackles, two quarterback hits, and a recovered fumble. If he can continue to grow, and keep making a large impact, the Dolphins defense will have a star-studded secondary.

3.      Jaylen Waddle

Okay. I know, I know. He muffed a punt. But, the past two games showed major upside for 6th overall draft pick, Jaylen Waddle. In the first two games, Waddle has racked up 10 reception, 109 receiving yards, and a touchdown. Along with how good these stats look on their own, the energy Waddle brings to the game is unmatched.

Even after a shutout loss to the Bills, the Dolphins can still be an elite team as long as some issues are fixed on both sides of the ball.

Dolphins Loss Broncos

Making it Count: 5 Tips for New Football Gamblers

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The 2021 National Football League has already begun, but there’s a long way to go between now and the Super Bowl in February. Whether Tampa Bay can retain its championship title remains to be seen. But one thing’s for sure: there will be plenty of action and drama before the playoffs come to an end.

 

Not only do millions of Americans watch the NFL games each year. Many also like to engage in betting. If you’re a first-time gambler and you’d like to wager on this year’s NFL, here are five tips to help you on your way.

 

1. Understand Each Betting Option

 

Before you place a bet, you need to understand what your different betting options are. There are lots of different types of NFL wagers to choose from. Some of the most common bet types are:

  •   Moneyline, in which you bet on a team to win a game.
  •   Point Spread, in which you bet on points.
  •   Parlays, which allow you to combine bets to reduce your risk.
  •   Live Betting, which is ideal if you don’t like the odds that are offered before the game but see an opportunity as the game progresses.

 

2. Use Multiple Sportsbooks

 

Once you have a good understanding of the different types of bets you can make, you can improve your edge by making bets at different sportsbooks, depending on which one offers the best payout rate.

 

It can take time to compare different online sportsbooks, but it’s more than worth it if you can take advantage of a better payout rate for the type of bet you wish to make. Also, by signing up with multiple sportsbooks, you can take advantage of welcome bonuses. Furthermore, remember sportsbooks aren’t only online.

 

You’ll also find some land-based casino establishments that provide excellent NFL betting opportunities. For instance, if you’re located in Detroit, you can visit the Greektown Casino and Hotel. Check out the Greektown casino sportsbook review from betting.us for more information.

 

3. Understand Key Numbers for Point Spreads

 

Not all points in a Point Spread are created equally. Because football has a unique scoring system, such as six for a touchdown, there are some numbers in NFL Point Spreads that you need to be aware of.

 

The big key numbers in NFL betting are 3 and 7, due to them being the most common margins in NFL victories. Around 30% of all football games end up with a difference in score of either 3 or 7. Other key numbers to be aware of are 10, 6, 4, and 14. Those numbers, in that sequence, are the most common victory margins in the NFL from the past 15 years.

 

Once you have knowledge of numbers and stats, you will be much better informed to place a successful bet.

 

4. Don’t Place Bets Solely Based on Last Week’s Results

 

Speaking of statistics, to make a more informed betting decision, you should always keep an eye on each team’s full-season stats and their past histories of playing each other. It is much better to do that than just looking at last week’s results. In fact, one of the biggest mistakes first-time gamblers make is basing their betting decisions on the previous week’s results.

 

Using last week’s results as part of your betting strategy is a bad choice for a couple of reasons. 

 

Firstly, the bookmakers know the public often makes bets based on the previous week’s results and adjusts the odds accordingly, in which case you end up with unfavorable odds.

 

Secondly, when one team is bombarded with the press and the bookmakers saying they are going to fail, it’s often enough to spur the team on and to come out fighting. Meanwhile, the other team may not put as much effort into training because it thinks it has the upcoming game sewn up. So, look at stats from a much wider perspective and use old stats to help you determine your optimal betting option.

 

5. Keep Track of Your Betting Outcomes

 

To measure how successful your wagers are over the whole season, you need to make sure you keep track of the bets you make and what the outcomes are. Many sportsbooks have dedicated apps that allow you to easily track your past bets, though you may prefer to simply write them down.

 

By being able to look over all of your bets at the end of the season, you’ll be able to identify how successful you have or haven’t been in predicting wins. You can then identify your strengths and weaknesses and be ready for the 2022 NFL.

QB Controversy Brewing in Gainesville?

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This past Saturday, Florida played FAU in its first game of the season, defeating the Owls, 35-14.

 

Redshirt junior Emory Jones patiently waited his turn since 2018 to become the starter this year after Kyle Trask got drafted by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Going into this season, Jones has played in 24 Florida games, making the FAU game his 25th game to play in and his first career start. There was a lot of preseason hype surrounding him, as he’s on the Johnny Unitas and in some conversations for the Heisman. This being said, Jones didn’t play as well as we all expected him to. He finished the night 17-27 with 113 yards, 1 TD pass and 2 interceptions. Jones did contribute to the team’s 400 rushing yards, with 74 total. The two interceptions were definitely surprising, with the first one a forced pass to the end zone. There was also confusion on 4th and goal in the first half when Emory ran a quarterback sneak with coach Dan Mullen visibly upset afterwards. 

 

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I’m not going to sit here and say Anthony Richardson, otherwise nicknamed as AR or AR15, was perfect when he came in but his energy was just great. He finished 3-8 for 40 yards passing but what stood out to me the most was his rushing attack, running seven times for 160 yards. Two of his carries were electric, which included a 73 yard rush touchdown and a run for a first down in which he hurdled over the defender, both coming in the 4th quarter. With AR in the game, the energy was just different and you could tell he needs to have playing time because he’s got something special.

 

After the game, coach Dan Mullen said, “Obviously Emory’s our starter.”

 

We certainly don’t want to count Emory out after just one game as a starter, but it will be interesting to see who will have the most playing time with a key game in just under two weeks against top-ranked Alabama. This weekend, Florida faces USF, who didn’t look great in their season opener against NC State, losing 45-0. Only time will tell but there’s definitely a quarterback controversy brewing in Gainesville.

 

Photo from Al.Com 

Xavien Howard reported to Miami Dolphins training camp but his contract demands remain unresolved.

Quick Take: Time to Move on from Xavien Howard?

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Over the past few days, Xavien Howard has made it widely known that he wants a trade away from the Miami Dolphins. Howard feels underpaid and under-appreciated by the Miami Dolphins.

So should Miami keep him or should they trade him?

 

Reasons to keep Xavien Howard:

 

  1. He was in the DPOY race

Howard was known as a top candidate for the DPOY award. Although Aaron Donald and TJ Watt beat him out as the top 2 contenders, Howard was right there with the best defenders in the league last NFL season.

 

2. If Howard leaves, Miami is left with a huge hole at cornerback

Miami would be left with Byron Jones, Jason McCourty, and either Nik Needham or Noah Igbinoghene. And let’s just say Needham and Igbinoghene aren’t the best options to play a slot corner spot for us.

3. Howard makes Miami a more fun team to watch

He led the league with interceptions and also got 8 more interceptions than the next best on the team. From one handed interceptions, to acrobatic plays, he brings a new level of fun to the game.

 

*****

Reasons to Trade Howard away:

  1. Howard is overrated

Xavien Howard just had the highest-performing year of his life. In my opinion, I see no world where Howard can have the same season he just had. He will lose trade value if he isn’t gone by the end of this year.

2. A Howard trade could bring another star to Miami

Getting rid of Howard could bring in names like Stephon Gilmore or even Deshaun Watson. Howard is regarded as one of the best cornerbacks in the league, and could easily get the Dolphins more star-level talent if given away.

3. Howard could hold out from playing if he’s kept on the team

If Howard stays, he may decide not to play this season, and we will lose a player without getting anything back. He really wants a bigger contract, and Miami hasn’t provided that for him, which could lead to a season-long holdout.

 

*****

Final Analysis:

I think The Miami Dolphins should trade Xavien Howard. Whether it’s a deal for Deshaun Watson, draft picks, or another star, Miami doesn’t need the negative energy he now brings to the team.

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5 from Juan: Observations from First Day of Dolphins Practice

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Welcome guys and gals to something I’ll try to do once a week but figured it would be a good time to start my observations which will be about the first day of practice. These are going to be my thoughts and opinions sprinkled in with some facts from people that know or were actually at practice. Without further ado, let’s dive in.

Tua thoughts:

Tua overall had a decent day as he did score some TDs like the long 60 yarder to Albert Wilson and another on a waggle to Shaheen where he looked off Baker with his eyes to fit it in there, he did have 2 interceptions on the day which people love to bring up. One interception was against AVG in a clear miscommunication with Shaheen where he was either between lobbing it up or coming back to the RB. The other was a pass that was described to me as lazy and batted at the line where Baker got the pick. 

Tua after practice talked at length about the differences between this year and last season with how much time he can spend with guys like eating with them and not having to go back home for a 2-hour zoom meeting like they had to do last year because of covid.When asked about the deep ball he talked about “getting everything down with guys, knowing where guys are going to be, and how they run certain routes..”. 

Sun-Sentinel reporter Omar Kelly and others have noted him taking the next step of leadership with bringing in guys to work out during the offseason, being a coach on the field, and even after practice where he mentioned “I got to get everyone together talk to the entire offense and I’ll just talk about our evaluation of the day you know how we started how it looks about the middle of practice and then how we finished on and you know I think overall we did pretty good obviously there’s always going to be things we need to brush up and cleanup.” All in all a good first step for Tua, that will give him things to pat himself in the back for while also giving him things to improve and work on. Remember this was all during install, which as our own Alfredo broke down, is just the Offense running the same play sometimes 3 or 4 times in a row with the Defense knowing exactly what’s coming.

Rookie Update:

We know Jaelan Phillips is playing OLB but a clip came out of him in a coverage drill and man did he look good. Phillips looks like a player ready to take on a huge workload as he looked fluid in pass defense sinking his hips and attacking the ball. Waddle as we’ll talk about next took full advantage of some guys being out and was all over the field and moving fast, like really fast. Holland is a rookie playing a position that usually requires a lot of communication which means he needs to know this defense well enough to not only know where he is lining up but also what the rest of the secondary has to do and how they align. Eichenberg having just been signed before the start of camp will probably has his shot to earn a job. Lastly Hunter Long who as more time passes, more people are standing up and realizing that he has legit talent and could really explode and be a top TE in the league.

Fuller leaves practice early

I can confirm Mando’s report of Fuller leaving practice early. Nobody seems to have seen him go down or even limp off the field, but it is something to monitor because of DVP and Preston starting on PUP. Other guys will have opportunities to impress like LBJ, Perry, Foster, Hollins, Albert, and even Waddle who’s probably the biggest benefactor in that he’s probably taking most of the snaps at WR. Wilson also seemed to take advantage on the 60 yard TD (a duck in some of the eyes of our fans) so these are names that based on the injury history of our top guys, will eventually be needed to not just play but also produce.

X showed up and practiced

After the bomb that X and his team dropped the night before the first practice, many assumed he would be pouting or working with less pep in his step, but I can report that he practiced with energy and showed no lack of professionalism with his on-field play. After the initial news hit It took me a while to get my thoughts together and I have to say that I feel the most for Byron Jones who had to withstand shots being thrown by a guy who’s opposite of him. I can report that X made it a fact to go and dap up Byron Jones before practice in front of the media.

Flores Song Selection

Can’t tell me nothing by Kanye west was the song used to start practice and to end it. The lyrics go like this:

We’ve seen in the past Flo send subliminal messages through his music selection but this one is as direct as can be IMO. Flores has press conferences every other day so look for his next interview on Thursday, July 29th, to be the one where he gets bombarded by Xavien Howard questions. Shocking that 2 days into camp and we already have so much to deal with and go through but this is the result of being a good team, something most fans this century have no experience with.

All in all, a positive first step for your 2021 Miami Dolphins but it’s only one of many that are going to be needed to get this team to where we all believe they should be, the playoffs. Till next time, Fins Up!

 

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