Tag Archive for: NFL

It is time for Tua Tagovailoa to start at quarterback for the Miami Dolphins.

Goldie’s Best Bets NFL Week 13: Take Tua’s Dolphins again

Goldie:

All Time Record: 226-120-1          

Vs. Spread: 167-179-1

 

21-22 Season:  100-65-1               

Vs. Spread: 78-90-1

 

Week 12 Record: 8-7                

Vs. Spread: 8-7

 

Guarantee Record: 13-13       

 

Upset Record: 13-12              

 

Crazy Uncle Jeff 

All Time: 31-10              

21-22 Season: 15-9       

Week 12: 1-0

 

Goldies Guarantee: LV -1

Washington Football Team (5-6) @ Las Vegas Raiders (6-5)

Vegas Picks: LV -1

Goldie’s Take: Raiders Win 24-20

Raiders look to keep the momentum rolling after a big win in Dallas on Thanksgiving. The Raiders also have the rest/prep edge as they played on Thanksgiving, while No Names played Monday night. Raiders will miss TE Darren Waller, who’s doubtful for this game with a knee injury, but Washington is down multiple players as well. JD Mckissic, Landon Collins, and Wes Schweitzer are all already ruled out for this contest. AND Ereck Flowers is legitimately questionable. If Flowers misses the game this means No Names would be without both of their starting Guards. Raiders pass rush should take advantage of this and get Vegas a big win at home. I GUARANTEE IT!

 

Goldie’s UPSET of the Week

San Francisco 49ers (6-5) @ Seattle Seahawks (3-8)

Vegas Picks: SF -3.5

Goldie’s Take: Seahawks Win 27-26

Seattle clearly hasn’t been themselves all season. Things really hit the fan when Russell Wilson got hurt and missed three games, and even when he came back, the Hawks still haven’t looked like the Seahawks we’re used to. With all that being said, Seattle still has a small glimmer of hope at a playoff spot. If things are going to turn around for the Seahawks, it’s now or never. Russell Wilson and Pete Carroll are very aware of this. Some would even say Pete’s coaching for his job. Also, I don’t buy into the 49ers hype. UPSET!

 

Crazy Uncle Jeff’s Lock of the Week: MIA -6

New York Giants (4-7) @ Miami Dolphins (5-7)

Vegas Picks: MIA -6

Goldie’s Take: Dolphins Win 23-15

Don’t look now, but other than the Pats, the Miami Dolphins are probably the hottest team in football right now. During Miami’s four game winning streak we have seen their defense completely come back to life. Evident by the three INTs and five sacks they forced last week at the hands of Carolina. The box score doesn’t do that game justice either. The Fins defense DOMINATED Cam Newton and the Panthers. Carolina couldn’t get anything going the entire game. I envision a very similar result in this one with the Mike Glennon led Giants coming to town. Fins D controls the game, as Tua should be able to game-manage the Fins to their fifth straight W. The Crazy Uncle approves.

 

Minnesota Vikings (5-6) @ Detroit Lions (0-10-1)

Vegas Picks: MIN -7.5

Goldie’s Take: Vikings Win 28-24

Vikes coming off a disappointing loss in San Fran last week. What’s worse is the fact that stud RB Dalvin Cook was injured in that contest and is out for Sunday’s matchup in Mo-Town. Lions will also be without their star RB D’andre Swift, so that slow-moving offense takes yet another hit. Still, giving Detroit a good chance to keep this one within the fat betting line. Lions are 7-4 ATS this season, losing close games has become their bread and butter. 

 

Indianapolis Colts (6-6) @ Houston Texans (2-9)

Vegas Picks: IND -10

Goldie’s Take: Colts Win 28-14

Colts get a bit of a break in the midst of what is a very tough schedule. Bills and Bucs the past two games, and Pats and Cardinals on deck for Indy. Recipe for success in this one should be simple for the Colts. Feed Johnathan Taylor. The last time these two faced off, JT ran for 145 yards and 2 TDs to do his part in a 31-3 rout of their division rival. Expect a similar showing from Taylor this Sunday. Colts take care of business on the road. 

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-3) @ Atlanta Falcons (5-6)

Vegas Picks: TB -11

Goldie’s Take: Buccaneers Win 30-22

Falcons have been one of the most inconsistent teams in football this season, so I’m going off trends in this one. Yes, I believe TOMpa Bay is clearly the better football team, but in their past 13 trips to the ATL, Tampa has only won by more than a TD just one time. Bucs will get the win, but I’m expecting Matty Ice to keep Dirty Birds in this one. 

 

Philadelphia Eagles (5-7) @ New York Jets (3-8)

Vegas Picks: PHI -7

Goldie’s Take: Eagles Win 30-14

After a tough loss to the New York Giants last week, Philly gets set to play on the road in the same stadium to face the New York Jets. I’m expecting a big bounce back performance for the Eagles in this one. Even after a loss where the offense only mustered 7 points, I still believe in Jalen Hurts and this offense. More importantly, I’m a big believer in Philly’s stingy defense. Birds are still my pick to land that final NFC Wild Card spot, and a rout of the lowly Jets is the first step in getting there. 

 

Arizona Cardinals (9-2) @ Chicago Bears (4-7)

Vegas Picks: ARI -7.5

Goldie’s Take: Cardinals Win 28-17

I don’t think I’ve picked Chicago one time this season, and that trend is not going to end here. Cardinals pass rush should give old banged up Andy Dalton fits all day. Plus Zona is slated to get back QB Kyler Murray and WR Deandre Hopkins. All signs point towards a Cardinals W in the Chi. Assuming Murray doesn’t have any setbacks with his injury, Cards should roll to a multiple score victory. 

 

Los Angeles Chargers (6-5) @ Cincinnati Bengals (7-4)

Vegas Picks: CIN -3

Goldie’s Take: Bengals Win 24-23

Toughest pick of the week for me because I have been a big Justin Herbert supporter for awhile now, however cooler heads prevail as I’m taking the Bengals to win this one. Cincy has won their past two games (against solid teams) by an average score of 25 points, while Bolts have really started to slip going 2-4 in their past six games. Giving Chargers a solid upset shot here, but smarter play is to take the red hot home team. Venue call!

 

Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9) @ Los Angeles Rams (7-4)

Vegas Picks: LAR -13

Goldie’s Take: Rams Win 31-17

Rams come home looking to bounce back after losing their last three games. This is the perfect game for LA to get back on track. To start, the game is at home so that’s a plus right away. Next, the game is against the Jags who have been near the bottom of the league for a while now. Rams loaded defense should make it a long day for Rookie QB Trevor Lawrence. Trev has had a very poor rookie year, and that trend should continue as he’s getting ready to face Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey. Rams cruise to victory at home.

 

Baltimore Ravens (8-3) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (5-5-1)

Vegas Picks: BAL -4.5 

Goldie’s Take: Ravens Win 26-20

Steelers were obliterated last week by division rival Cincinnati, while Ravens have been hanging on for wins in their past few games. It’s getting to be late in the season which means Big Ben starts to become weak and weary; expect a lot of Najee Harris in this one. Pitt should keep it close at home, but all signs point to the Ravens to get the win on the road. 

 

Denver Broncos (6-5) @ Kansas City Chiefs (7-4)

Vegas Picks: KC -9.5

Goldie’s Take: Chiefs Win 27-21

Very confident in KC to win this one. Andy Reid is 14-3 when coming off a bye, and Mahomes is 7-1. Not too shabby. Also this one will be in Primetime at home. This has a Chiefs win written all over it. However, it is still a divisional game, and Denver has quietly won three of their last four. Chiefs will get the win but don’t be shocked when Teddy Two Gloves keeps this one within the fat betting line. 

 

New England Patriots (8-4) @ Buffalo Bills (7-4)

Vegas Picks: BUF -2.5

Goldie’s Take: Bills Win 27-24

Buffalo was finally supposed to seize AFC East supremacy when Brady left for Tampa Bay, but it seems the hoodie-wearing genius still has some tricks up his sleeve. Rookie Mac Jones seems to be fitting the offense perfectly, as Pats are the hottest team in football, winners of six in a row. However, Bills are the real deal on the other side as well. Should be an ugly game, as it’s supposed to be very windy and snowy in Buffalo on Monday Night. Viewing this one sorta like an old Kung-Fu movie. Young up and comer (Bills) have to go and take down the old wise OG who’s been the man for decades (Bellichick and the Pats). Get your popcorn ready, I think Bills are up to the challenge.

Can the Dolphins Make the Playoffs?

The Dolphins were 1-7 going into week 9 and many fans were wondering if it was time for another complete rebuild. There was talk of trading Xavien Howard at the trade deadline and selling off pieces like DeVante Parker as well. That tune has completely changed as the Dolphins have reeled off 4 straight wins and now are 5-7 with major momentum.  

 

Now we find out if Miami was just beating bad teams with the exception of Baltimore or are they actually turning the corner? 

 

The biggest key to the turnaround has been the offense finally starting to show some promise. Prior to the game vs Baltimore Tua had missed a few games due to what the Dolphins were calling a finger injury. It was widely reported that Tua could’ve played but Head Coach Brian Flores and company decided to go with Jacoby Brissett. Brissett went down with a knee injury forcing Tua to go in the game and provided the offense with a spark and Tua has started since.

 

*****

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*****

 

Another player that has broken out during the win streak has been rookie WR Jaylen Waddle. The last two weeks Waddle has had 19 targets resulting in 17 catches 202 yards and 1 touchdown along with one rushing touchdown as well. You can start to see the connection Tua and Waddle have dating back to their time together at Alabama. Waddle is emerging as the consistent weapon a young QB like Tua needs. 

 

The Dolphins’ remaining schedule is the Giants, Jets & Patriots in Miami and @ Saints & @ Titans. Those are some winnable games and in order to make the playoffs I’d say the Dolphins need to go 4-1 which will be difficult. That said it can be done if Miami plays up to their potential.

 

There’s a reason coming into the season Miami was projected as a 10 win or more team. If they are unable to make the playoffs, GM Chris Grier and HC Brian Flores may be let go which is another reason Miami will be motivated to continue the run at the playoffs. If the Dolphins do make the playoffs Brian Flores deserves a lot of credit despite the horrible start to the season.  

 

Young Talent Starting to Show up for the Dolphins

The Miami Dolphins continued their win-streak to reach 4 wins straight this past week. Although the Dolphins started the season 1-7, they won out in their past four games, thanks mostly to the young stars on their team.

Tua Tagovailoa has stepped up during the Dolphins win-streak. Tagovailoa’s season completion percentage is 70.1%, which would clock in as the 18th best completion percentage in a season of all time!  To put that into perspective, if the season ended today, Tagovailoa’s completion percentage would be higher than Tom Brady’s highest accuracy ever.

In Sunday’s game against the Panthers, Tagovailoa completed 27 of 31 passes, putting him 8th best for completion percentage in a single game in NFL history (when attempting over 30 passes). If Tagovailoa keeps this up, Miami may have a chance at winning the rest of their games, and maybe even securing a playoff spot.

Jaylen Waddle also played his best in an NFL game yet this past week. He was targeted 10 times, racking up 9 receptions. Waddle also recorded his first ever 100-yard game, gaining 137 yards. Waddle led the Dolphins in receiving, recording more than half of the total receiving yards, along with the only receiving touchdown by the team. Hopefully, this is a good showing of Waddle’s future, as he played amazingly in this game.

Defensively, the team’s rookies also showed out. Jaelan Phillips recorded three sacks this past week, his best game of this season so far. He led the Dolphins in sacks, and arguably put up the best defensive performance of anyone on the team. Jevon Holland also played well, recording his second ever interception in the NFL. It appears he’s headed for Pro Bowls if he can stay healthy, good in coverage and when applying pressure. Whatever one thinks of Miami’s 2020 draft, it appears that Chris Grier did well in 2021.

If Miami’s young stars can keep up this play, the future is bright for the team’s next few years.

*****

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Three Takeaways from Giants-Buccaneers, before Giants play Dolphins

Many newcomers are curious about how to bet on football now that the NFL season has started. Football bettors enjoy the pace of the NFL because teams play only once a week. To place a bet on your favorite team, however, you must know the performance of that team in previous games and have a good understanding of the best betting sites based on the sportsbook. This is where Bet-NY comes in. You will also find an in-depth NYRA Bets review on bet-ny.com. Let’s check out the key takeaways from the Giants vs. Buccaneers’ previous match that can help you make a winning bet on the next matchup.

 

The Offense Begun and Ended with a Clinic

 

The first drives of the Buccaneers’ first drives were pass, pass, wide receiver rush, wide receiver rush, pass, pass, pass, touchdown. It was just under four minutes into the game when Tom Brady completed five of five passes, with every play being successful, and the Buccaneers led 7-0 over their opponents. The Bucs were able to gain 73 yards on the drive thanks to four different receivers and six different skill players. The Giants couldn’t answer it since it was so clinical.

 

With a large lead in the fourth quarter, the offense would only punt three more times. Brady was removed from the game midway through the fourth quarter in favor of backup Blaine Gabbert after completing 30 of 46 attempts for 307 yards and two touchdowns against one interception. All team members were on the same page. A total of ten different receivers caught passes during Monday night’s game. In addition to Godwin and Fournette having six catches each, both of them caught all of the targets thrown their way.

 

There was never a time when the offense wasn’t in control in the second quarter, except for the tipped interception that put the Giants on the Bucs’ five-yard line. Their offensive output was nearly double that of New York, with 402 yards instead of the Giants’ 215 yards. They were able to complete their goal with about 10 more minutes of possession. This result was likely the result of Tampa Bay’s balanced approach, which included 94 yards rushing. Moreover, both wide receivers and Brady took turns in the rushing game, as we previously discussed. Despite his official stat sheet reporting 10 yards, he said he scrambled 11 yards in the second quarter. As a result, Brady got a first down and a burst of energy that he typically reserves for his morning warmup. Yet, this remained constant throughout the game. Brady led the Buccaneers to six third-down conversions on 11 attempts, for a 55 percent success rate. Thus, the defense got some respite and was able to play with much vigor the remainder of the night.

 

The Defense Followed Suit

 

The defense doesn’t give up in the face of challenges. The Giants reached the Buccaneers’ 19-yard line on their opening possession before settling for a field goal as Tampa Bay tightened its defense. Throughout the entire game, that was the closest they would come on their own. The Giants scored their only touchdown on their second possession after a Brady interception on the second play of the Bucs’ second possession. Fortunately, Adoreé Jackson was able to grab the tipped ball and return it to the Tampa Bay five-yard line. Despite being so close, a pass to the offensive tackle was required to score. Giant’s offense totaled 215 yards on the night, 149 passing yards, and 66 rushing yards. In his return from injury, running back Saquon Barkley gained just 25 yards on six attempts. No New York receiver gained more than 40 yards. There was only an average throw play of 3.6 yards for the Giants. One of their nine third-down attempts and one of their three fourth-down attempts were converted.

 

In the meantime, Vita Vea was not available for the Buccaneers on the interior. The team made up for it with Rakeem Nunez-Roches, who was also questionable before the game, and Joe Tryon-Shoyinka, who played 50% of the defensive snaps, including some on the interior. The 35-year-old defensive tackle Steve McLendon also ended up with his first career interception after some extra work. In the end, Daniel Jones had two interceptions for the Buccaneers. Defensive back Mike Edwards, who had been a one-person wrecking squad for the entire evening, scored the second goal off a tipped ball by Devin White.

 

After everything appeared to be going wrong and they could not get off the field, the defense performed precisely as planned. Although the effort wasn’t flawless, head coach Bruce Arians said afterwards, which is what we’re capable of.

 

Playing on your terms Makes Mistakes Manageable

 

There will never be a perfect game, no matter how hard you try. In contrast, when you play complementary football, and on your terms, mistakes don’t matter as much. The Bucs still had six penalties in the game, the same amount as Washington, but the team recovered thanks to a good team effort. In addition, one of the pre-snap penalties was intentional, another had to do with Evans’ illegal substitution, and the lone offsides penalty came early in the game and was given to Jason Pierre-Paul. 

 

Since he’s playing against his old squad, it’s probably just him being excited to play against them. However, none of the penalties, pre-snap or not, were particularly damning. In most cases, the team was able to recover within the drive. Thus, more than a week after Tom Brady said the team rarely played on its terms, the team reversed course, only playing on its terms and at home, to snap a two-game losing streak.

 

Conclusion

 

The Buccaneers beat the Giants on Monday Night Football to improve to 7-3 on the season and snap a two-game losing streak at home. As outlined above, these were some of the most important takeaways from the Monday night match.

 

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Dolphins

Goldie’s Best Bets, Week 12: Take the Streaking Dolphins

Goldie:

All Time Record: 219-115-1          

Vs. Spread: 162-172-1

 

21-22 Season:  93-60-1               

Vs. Spread: 73-83-1

 

Week 11 Record : 8-6                 

Vs. Spread: 7-7

 

Guarantee All Time: 13-12       

 

Upset All Time: 12-12              

 

Crazy Uncle Jeff 

All Time: 30-10              

21-22 Season: 14-9       

Week 11: 1-2

 

Goldie’s Guarantee: MIN +3.5

Minnesota Vikings (5-5) @ San Francisco 49ers (5-5) 

Vegas Picks: SF -3.5

Goldie’s Take: Vikings Win 28-24

My favorite bet of the weekend is easily Vikings with the points. All of their games are close, evident by the fact that the Vikings haven’t lost a game this season by more than seven points. Plus given Minny’s offensive weapons I give them a very legitimate shot at an UPSET. Niners have won two straight by 20+, but you can’t expect Jimmy G to keep that pace. San Fran is set for a major letdown as Vikings go in and UPSET the 49ers on the road. 

 

Goldie’s UPSET of the Week

Carolina Panthers (5-6) @ Miami Dolphins (4-7)

Vegas Picks: CAR -2.5 

Goldie’s Take: Dolphins Win 24-23

After the abysmal 1-7 start, the Fins have picked it up a bit with three straight victories. Meanwhile, Carolina has really slipped since their strong 3-0 start. Their quarterback play got so bad, it forced them to recycle back to Cam Newton. A player who definitely brings energy to this team, but clearly isn’t the player he once was. Cam should have a very tough day against that blitz-heavy Dolphins defense. Miami completely shut down Lamar Jackson a few weeks ago, expect B Flo to implement a similar game plan to contain Newton in this one. Look for a defensive game, as Tua should be able to game-manage Miami to their fourth straight victory. UPSET!

 

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Crazy Uncle Jeff’s Lock of the Week: TB -3.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-3) @ Indianapolis Colts (6-5)

Vegas Picks: TB -3.5

Goldie’s Take: Buccaneers Win 32-28

Colts ground and pound identity with Johnathan Taylor has them winners of five out of their last six and right back in the mix of that AFC playoff picture. However, going up against and beating Tom Brady and the defending Super Bowl champions is a different story. With home field advantage and team momentum on their side, I do give Indy a decent upset shot, but I’ve bet against Brady too many times to make that mistake again. Plus the Crazy Uncle loves Tampa to win and cover in this one. Bucs get a tough win on the road. 

 

Rest of Week 12:

 

Tennessee Titans (8-3) @ New England Patriots (7-4)

Vegas Picks: NE -7

Goldie’s Take: Patriots Win 27-21

Red hot Pats enter this one boasting a five game winning streak, arguably the hottest team in the league. Meanwhile, Tennessee is coming off of an ugly loss to the 2-8 Houston Texans. The injuries are finally starting to catch up to the Titans, six players have already been ruled out (incluing AJ Brown) and an additional five are listed as questionable. Trust Tannehill and the defense to keep it close, but believe in Belichick and Pats to get the win in Foxboro. 

 

Pittsburgh Steelers (5-4-1) @ Cincinnati Bengals (6-4)

Vegas Picks: CIN -3.5

Goldie’s Take: Bengals Win 27-23

After a couple of questionable performances, Cincy confirmed their validity with a commanding win over the Raiders last week. However, Big Ben has historically owned the Bengals during his career. BUT this is a different Bengals and this is a different Big Ben. Joe Burrow to Jamar Chase is a combo that Bengals fans have been waiting for for a long time. Plus Cincy is at home. Bengals get a huge AFC North victory to keep them in solid positioning in that playoff push. 

 

Philadelphia Eagles (5-6) @ New York Giants (3-7)

Vegas Picks: PHI -3.5

Goldie’s Take: Eagles Win 27-20

Philly is beginning to find their groove as they’re winners of three of their last four. Jalen Hurts dual threat ability has been giving defenses nightmares all season, evident by the 618 rushing yards and 8 TDs he’s posted through eleven games. Also their defense has been holding strong as well, forcing three turnovers at the Saints last week. I’m starting to believe in this team, in fact I’ll go as far to say Eagles end up in the playoffs this season. Birds go into the Big Apple and get a road W. 

 

Atlanta Falcons (4-6) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (2-8)

Vegas Picks: ATL -2

Goldie’s Take: Falcons Win 23-20

Both offenses in this matchup have been an overall letdown this season. Atlanta has scored a total of 3 points in the past two games combined, and since the Jags bye week Jacksonville has only averaged 10 points per game. Believe it or not, Atlanta is still within spitting distance of the final NFC wild card spot so they might have some added motivation in this one. On the other hand, at 2-8 Jacksonville has already started to look towards the draft. Matt Ryan and Atlanta bounce back, and keep their season very much alive with a road win in Jacksonville. 

 

New York Jets (2-8) @ Houston Texans (2-8)

Vegas Picks: HOU -2.5

Goldie’s Take: Texans Win 20-14

Snoozefest of the week takes place in Houston as these two bottomfeeders face off. Although, somehow both of these 2-8 teams are responsible for one of the 8-3 Titans losses. Weird. When Houston QB Tyrod Taylor is healthy, they are a much better football team. 2-2 this season when Taylor starts. His dual-threat ability to run and pass adds another dimension to the Texans offense… Speaking of quarterbacks being healthy, Jets rookie QB Zach Wilson is set to return from injury this weekend. It’ll be interesting to see how the kid bounces back. Expect an ugly game but a Texans home cover. 

 

Los Angeles Chargers (6-4) @ Denver Broncos (5-5)

Vegas Picks: LAC -2.5

Goldie’s Take: Chargers Win 33-24

Both of these AFC West squads have been wildly inconsistent this season, and can’t seem to separate themselves from the middle of the pack. However, when talking about overall talent, I give the edge to the Chargers. Their offense is loaded with weapons and they’re all surrounding young stud quarterback Justin Herbert. Also, Broncos trading Von Miller earlier this season seems to point towards a rebuild for Denver. Chargers should go into Mile High and leave with a hard fought win. 

 

Los Angeles Rams (7-3) @ Green Bay Packers (8-3) 

Vegas Picks: LAR -1.5

Goldie’s Take: Packers Win 30-28

Easily the NFL’s game of the week is set for 4:25 in Green Bay this Sunday. I’m expecting a close, back and forth game no doubt, but I’m shocked that Vegas has the Rams favored on the road in Green Bay. I don’t see Aaron Rodgers losing two in a row, especially not at home in a big game. Making this one a big venue call as Green Bay hasn’t lost a home game all season, and are on a 10-1 run at Lambeau. I don’t see them losing this one. 

 

Cleveland Browns (6-5) @ Baltimore Ravens (7-4)

Vegas Picks: BAL -3.5

Goldie’s Take: Ravens Win 28-26

Some big names are set to return for both teams in this one. For Cleveland, they’ll most likely be getting back the second half of their superstar RB duo with Kareem Hunt set to return for the first time since week 6. On the other hand, Baltimore will be getting back Lamar Jackson who missed their last game due to COVID. It’s always a great game when these two match up as this is turning into a great rivalry. In this one I like the Ravens to get the primetime win at home in this divisional showdown. 

 

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Seattle Seahawks (3-7) @ Washington Football Team (4-6)

Vegas Picks: PK

Goldie’s Take: Seahawks Win 26-21

This season has been a disaster for Seattle who entered this season with very high hopes. The injury to Russell Wilson derailed them, and he hasn’t been as sharp since returning. Have to expect that to change though right? This week in Primetime against a below average “football team”, expect Seattle to get off the losing skid with a win in the  nation’s capital. 

Goldie’s Best Bets: Thanksgiving Edition

Thanksgiving Day UPSET

Chicago Bears (3-7) @ Detroit Lions (0-9-1)

Vegas Picks: CHI -3

Goldie’s Take: Lions Win 24-21

The stage couldn’t be set up better for the lowly Lions to get their first win of what has been a very long and grueling season. Detroit has been competing with solid teams in their last few games with a tie against the Steelers and only a three point loss to the Browns. Meanwhile, Chicago is completely falling apart and many are speculating that Bears head coach Matt Nagy could be on the outs after this one. Mo-Town finally has something to be thankful for as the Lions come away with a Turkey Day UPSET!

 

Las Vegas Raiders (5-5) @ Dallas Cowboys (7-3)

Vegas Picks: DAL -7.5

Goldie’s Take: Cowboys Win 31-24

After the red hot 5-2 start things have kind of started to hit the fan for the Raiders. The drama with Jon Gruden and then Henry Ruggs is finally starting to catch up with them, as the squad in silver and black currently holds a three-game losing streak. On the other hand, the Cowboys have been excellent to start the season. A rough performance last week in KC merritts a Thanksgiving bounce back. Cowboys take care of business at home, but giving Raiders a very legitimate chance at covering. 

 

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Buffalo Bills (6-4) @ New Orleans Saints (5-5)

Vegas Picks: BUF -6.5

Goldie’s Take: Bills Win 30-23

The Bills have not been as high and mighty as we once thought. A loss to the Jaguars and a blowout loss at home versus the Colts is a very bad look for the Buffalo boys. However, the Saints don’t boast too much momentum coming into this one either, losers of three straight contests. Both of these squads are looking to get their mojo back after a tough couple of weeks, I believe in Josh Allen and the Bills to get back on track with a Thanksgiving night feast in N’awlins. 

Which NFL Teams do Sports Betting Sites Favor to Compete at Super Bowl LVI?

While the 2021 Super Bowl does not actually play out in 2021 as originally planned, this has only led to an increase in anticipation. Now set for Sunday the 13th of February 2022 because of the pandemic, it means that we’re now just a few months away from seeing another team crowned as champions.

As anticipation levels heat, you might have wondered which teams are currently the favorite to make it to the super bowl. Perhaps you feel like backing that team on an online sportsbook? Well, we have you covered on the teams currently favored at the top betting sites in the US.

Before you place a bet, just make sure you check out the USA states with legal sports betting listed here. Below, we will take you through the teams that currently have the best odds at many top sports books. The odds we have given are an average of each of those, so will differ depending on where you go. 

Kansas City Chiefs (+600)

For many, the Kansas City Chiefs have the squad best equipped to win Super Bowl 2021. Not only that, but they have made the final in each of the last two seasons. Sure, they lost the last one comprehensively against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, but it is difficult to bet against them making three finals in a row. 

Add in a relatively easy fixture list compared to others, and it is easy to see why the Chiefs are currently the favorites with online sports betting sites. 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+650)

That actually brings us neatly onto the team that is currently second-favorites with many bookmakers. The Buccaneers deservedly won the last time around, but much of that was down to a surprisingly poor performance by the Chiefs than a knockout performance by the Buccaneers. 

Their roster is the league’s most experienced and, of course, they still have Tom Brady. This team has the quality to repeat history, so we feel the bookies have the odds right on this one. 

Buffalo Bills (+700)

The Buffalo Bills were just one game from the final last time around, having been sent home by the Chiefs. However, many feel that they would have delivered a better final performance than their victors did. This team went on a monumental run last year, claiming 13 victories from 16 games. You cannot argue with that kind of form. 

If they perform similarly this year, we feel they have a significant chance of going one step better than last year.

LA Rams (+800)

The Rams also had an impressive year last time out with 10 wins from 16. However, their form did slip rather alarmingly. The good news is that they have started this season on fire and are looking a promising bet for that final. It is still early though, and anything can happen in football. 

While we think they have a better chance than many others, we feel that even if they made the final, there are a handful of teams that are a level above them. 

Could an Outsider Cause a Surprise? 

Just because the bookies favor some teams, it does not mean the others do not stand a chance. In fact, many punters actually believe an outsider could cause a bit of a shock. They would hope so too if they have backed them at longer odds. One team on the lips of some is the Indianapolis Colts, but are they truly a legitimate contender

Another outsider that some are backing includes the Baltimore Ravens at +1600. This is a team that has some fantastic ability amongst its roster. On their day, this team can beat anybody. The question is how often those days come around. 

All Bets are Off!

Did you have your suspicions confirmed on the current favorites? Well, whether or not you did, you now know which teams the bookies think have the best chance of winning Super Bowl 2021. Remember that those odds change after every result and performance, so the favorite today might not be this time next week. 

If you’re thinking about placing some bets, just be careful, as while the odds given by online bookmakers are usually a good barometer of your chances, anything can happen. There have been some monumental NFL collapses previously, and this could quite easily happen again. Also, make sure you shop around to find online sports betting sites with the best odds on your pick.

Goldie’s NFL Best Bets Week 11: Backing the ‘Boys

 

Goldie:

All Time Record: 211-109-1          

Vs. Spread: 152-165-1

 

21-22 Season:  85-54-1               

Vs. Spread: 63-76-1

 

Week 10 Record : 6-6-1                 

Vs. Spread: 4-9

 

Guarantee All Time: 13-11       

21-22 Season: 4-6

 

Upset All Time: 12-11              

21-22 Season: 3-7

 

Crazy Uncle Jeff 

All Time: 29-8              

21-22 Season: 13-7       

Week 10: 0-1

 

Goldie’s Guarantee

Green Bay Packers (8-2) @ Minnesota Vikings (4-5)

Vegas Picks: GB -1

Goldie’s Take: Packers Win 24-13

Picking Green Bay in this divisional matchup for a number of reasons. First, the Packers defense is really good this season, holding Seattle to a goose egg on the scoreboard for the first time in Russell Wilson’s career last week. Also, Minnesota is wildly inconsistent this season, one week their losing to Cooper Rush and the Cowboys, and the next thing you know they’re beating the Chargers on the road. Never know which Vikings team is going to show up. And most importantly, reigning MVP Aaron Rodgers has been on a tear this season, “He’s a BAAAD MAANN”. Packers win this NFC North showdown, I GUARANTEE IT! 

 

Goldie’s UPSET of the Week

Crazy Uncle Jeff’s Lock of the Week: DAL +2.5

Dallas Cowboys (7-2) @ Kansas City Chiefs (6-4)

Vegas Picks: KC -2.5

Goldie’s Take: Cowboys Win 33-30

After a few down weeks from both myself and Crazy Uncle Jeff, we’re going for a big bounce back this week. Jeffy has cooked up THREE LOCKS for you all, and one of them also happens to be the UPSET of the week. We can all agree that the Chiefs this season haven’t looked like the Chiefs we’ve grown accustomed to. One big win against a chaotic Raiders team isn’t going to convince me that “the Chiefs are back”. And on the other side, the Cowboys have significantly outperformed expectations this season. Couldn’t ask for more from Dak and that star studded offense, and the ‘Boys defense has also substantially improved from last season. Cowboys go into KC and UPSET the Chiefs. How ‘Bout Dem Cowboys!

 

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Crazy Uncle Jeff’s Lock of the Week: BAL -4.5

Baltimore Ravens (6-3) @ Chicago Bears (3-6)

Vegas Picks: BAL -4.5

Goldie’s Take: Ravens Win 26-20

The Ravens look to bounce back after that horrid performance they displayed at the hands of the Dolphins last Thursday night. After missing back to back practices this week, Lamar Jackson was back out there Friday, so Ravens fans (And LJ fantasy owners) can breathe a sigh of relief. A few trends worth noting in this one: Chicago is on an abysmal 0-7 skid straight up AND against the spread when coming off a bye since 2014. Also, Lamar Jackson is a perfect 12-0 versus NFC teams. All these trends continue this weekend as Baltimore leaves the Chi with a W. The Crazy Uncle approves.

 

Crazy Uncle Jeff’s Lock of the Week: CAR -3.5

Washington Football Team (3-6) @ Carolina Panthers (5-5)

Vegas Picks: CAR -3.5

Goldie’s Take: Panthers Win 23-20

Big storyline surrounding this one is Cam Newton’s first start back in Carolina. Fitting that his first start back is against former Panthers head coach Ron Rivera. Rivera drafted Newton, and the duo even made it to a Super Bowl together in 2016. After coaching Newton for years, Rivera should have a pretty good idea about how to stop him, but if you ask Jeffy about it, he’ll say “Ron Rivera couldn’t stop a high school team.” SuperCam and the Panthers get an emotional win in a venue call!

 

Rest of Week 11:

 

Indianapolis Colts (5-5) @ Buffalo Bills (6-3)

Vegas Picks: BUF -7

Goldie’s Take: Bills Win 30-24

After their 1-4 start, Indy has rejuvenated their season by winning four out of their last five. This puts them back at .500, right outside the AFC playoff picture. However, this week they have arguably their toughest test so far, having to go on the road and face the mighty Buffalo Bills. Feeding star RB Johnathan Taylor is a recipe for Colts to stay in this one, but I trust Buffs to take care of business at home. 

 

Detroit Lions (0-8-1) @ Cleveland Browns (5-5)

Vegas Picks: CLE -11.5

Goldie’s Take: Browns Win 28-17

Browns are in the midst of a streaky 2-4 slide, but get a much needed boost to their offense with star RB Nick Chubb set to return. Even with the status of QB Baker Mayfiled up in the air, I still have Browns holding on for the win at home. Lowly Lions should have a very hard time moving the ball on Myles Garrett and stingy Cleveland D, and Chubb should have a big day slicing right through Motown’s weak defensive unit. Browns get the win at home to creep back above .500. 

 

Houston Texans (1-8) @ Tennessee Titans (8-2)

Vegas Picks: TEN -10

Goldie’s Take: Titans WIn 30-17

No matter what the NFL has thrown at them, the Titans have responded. Even without superstar RB Derrick Henry, the Titans find themselves winners of six in a row sitting at 8-2 with the best record in the AFC. On the other side, Houston has lost 8 straight and cannot wait for this season to be over. Both of those trends continue as Titans roll past Texans. 

 

San Francisco 49ers (4-5) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (2-7)

Vegas Picks: SF -6

Goldie’s Take: 49ers Win 24-20

The Niners salvaged their season with a very impressive upset of the Rams on MNF last week. Their defense gave the star studded Rams a very hard time, and they finally looked like the Niners team that was in the Super Bowl just two seasons ago. However, expect the Jags to keep this one close as they’ve been trending upwards lately, 2-2 in their last four games, including a major upset of the Bills a few weeks ago. Not to mention San Fran could be on letdown watch after such a monumental win last week against the Rams. Picking Niners to get the win… but banking on a Jacksonville home cover. 

 

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Miami Dolphins (3-7) @ New York Jets (2-7) 

Vegas Picks: MIA -3.5

Goldie’s Take: Dolphins Win 23-15

Lots of factors pointing to a Dolphins win on Sunday. Fins have picked up the pieces a bit lately winning two in a row, including a shocking upset of the Ravens on TNF. Meanwhile, the Jets enter this one after losing two back to back, including getting annihilated at home by the Bills last week. Also, Fins have owned the Jets of late, 8-2 in their last ten and 3-1 under Brian Flores. Old, stationary Joe Flacco should have a tough time dealing with ‘Fins blitz-heavy defense. Expect a low-scoring game, as Tua should be able to game-manage Miami to their third straight victory. 

 

New Orleans Saints (5-4) @ Philadelphia Eagles (4-6)

Vegas Picks: PHI -2

Goldie’s Take: Eagles WIn 27-23

Big NFC playoff implications in this matchup. Currently Saints hold one of the final Wild Card spots in the NFC, with the Eagles lurking right behind them. Saints are losers of two in a row after their big upset of the Bucs a few weeks ago. Meanwhile, the Eagles enter this one after destroying the Broncos on the road. It seems Philly’s offense has finally found its identity as a running team rather than a passing team. Philly is 0-4 at home this year, while the Saints are on an impressive 16-4 road heater. Both of those trends are due to come to an end this weekend as Philadelphia finally gets to see their Eagles fly high with a home win.

 

Cincinnati Bengals (5-4) @ Las Vegas Raiders (5-4)

Vegas Picks: CIN -1

Goldie’s Take: Bengals Win 28-26

After red hot starts, both of these teams have dropped their last two, and are starting to lose their validity. The Raiders offense hasn’t looked the same since the departure of speedy WR Henry Ruggs III, and Bengals have had two weeks to stew after getting demolished at home by division rival Cleveland. However, Cincy does have a significant prep/rest edge as they’re coming off a bye, and the Raiders played Sunday night. This game is a complete toss up in my opinion, but give me Burrow and the Bengals to steal one on the road. 

 

Arizona Cardinals (8-2) @ Seattle Seahawks (3-6)

Vegas Picks: ARI -2.5

Goldie’s Take: Seahawks Win 28-24

For the third straight week Cardinals QB Kyler Murray is listed as questionable heading into Sunday, and they have already ruled out WR Deandre Hopkins. The past two weeks we have seen Kyler go to inactive status and backup Colt McCoy has seen the past two starts. So Kyler’s “questionable” designation will truly be a gametime decision. Also, Seattle is hanging by a thread in the NFC playoff race and a loss could pretty much end their season. Last week we saw Russell Wilson get shutout for the first time in his career. I’m expecting a huge bounce back performance from Russ and this Seahawks offense. Also making this one a bit of a venue call as Seattle is still one of the most hostile environments to play in the NFL. UPSET!

 

Pittsburgh Steelers (5-3-1) @ Los Angeles Chargers (5-4)

Vegas Picks: LAC -6

Goldie’s Take: Chargers Win 31-14

After the hot start, the Bolts have started to slip a bit, losing three out of their last four. However, this week they have a SNF home game against the Steelers, who just tied the winless Lions. Big Ben has been ruled out for this contest, and Pittsburgh already has a hard enough time scoring points with Big Ben. It very well could be a disaster without him. I’m fully expecting the Chargers to get off the cold streak and steamroll the Steelers in LA.

 

New York Giants (3-6) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-3)

Vegas Picks: TB -10.5

Goldie’s Take: Buccaneers Win 30-20

The Bucs have been upset in their last two games by teams that they should have beaten. Is it time to start to feel nervous in Tampa? I don’t think so. Yes, those two losses were a bad look, but you’re still 6-3 and completely in control of your own destiny. Oh, and you have the greatest football player to ever play on your team named Tom Brady. The Bucs finally come home on Monday night, and they’ll get back on track with a win. However I could see G-Men slipping in under that hefty point spread. 

Goldie’s Week 10 Best Bets: Steelers, Bucs Roll

Goldie:

All Time Record: 205-103          

Vs. Spread: 148-156-1

 

21-22 Season:  79-48               

Vs. Spread: 59-67-1

 

Week 9 Record : 7-6                 

Vs. Spread: 4-9

 

Guarantee All Time: 13-10       

21-22 Season: 4-5

 

Upset All Time: 12-10              

21-22 Season: 3-6

 

Crazy Uncle Jeff 

All Time: 29-7              

21-22 Season: 13-6       

Week 9: 0-2

 

Goldie’s Guarantee

Los Angeles Rams (7-2) @ San Francisco 49ers (3-5)

Vegas Picks: LAR -3.5

Goldie’s Take: Rams Win 34-21

The Rams were stunned on home field last week by a Derrick Henry-less Titans team. The Titans defense gave them all kinds of fits, as it was Stafford’s worst game as a Ram so far. On the other side, the Niners have been all kinds of bad this season, losing five out of their last six, the Niners have no continuity and no team identity. San Francisco is floundering and they don’t even own their first round pick. Things go from bad to worse for the Niners as the Rams should come into their home and steamroll them. Rams bounce back and coast to 8-2 in the Bay, while Niners continue to search for answers. I GuaRAMtee it!

 

Goldie’s UPSET of the Week

Cleveland Browns (5-4) @ New England Patriots (5-4)

Vegas Picks: NE -2.5

Goldie’s Take: Browns Win 24-23

Cleveland’s defense is finally healthy, and that’s the sole reason I’m picking them in this one. Yes, the Pats have kind of found their groove of late winning 3 out of their last 4, but they haven’t faced a defense as strong as Cleveland’s. Myles Garrett and that dangerous Cleveland front seven should make for a long and difficult day for Rookie Mac Jones. Also, Baker looked great last week in his first game post-OBJ. I’m a little concerned about the Browns without star Nick Chubb, but I still expect their defense to do enough to get them the UPSET in Foxboro. 

 

Crazy Uncle Jeff’s Lock of the Week: PIT -7.5

Detroit Lions (0-8) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (5-3)

Vegas Picks: PIT -7.5

Goldie’s Take: Steelers Win 27-20

After Jeffy’s first ever winless weekend, he looks to bounce back as he’s locking in his Pittsburgh -7.5 pick!  Oh the poor poor Lions. The more I look at the rest of their schedule the less faith I have in them to get a win. The bottom line is, this team just isn’t good at anything. There is no one positional unit where the Lions have a consistent advantage. When that’s the case it doesn’t matter how many kneecaps they plan to bite off, it doesn’t result in wins. Pitt gets their fifth straight win at home against the lowly Lions. LOCK IT IN!

 

Rest of Week 10:

 

New Orleans Saints (5-3) @ Tennessee Titans (7-2)

Vegas Picks: TEN -3

Goldie’s Take: Titans Win 24-17

Last week’s upset of the Rams proves that the Titans are capable of winning without Derrick Henry, and I only expect their offense to get better as they continue to adjust to life without Henry. However, the big story in that SNF game last week was actually the Titans defense. They held a high powered Rams offense to just 16 points (including a TD in garbage time). The Winston-less Saints are going to have a tough time moving the football on a stingy Tennessee D. Titans stay hot with another win. 

 

Buffalo Bills (5-3) @ New York Jets (2-6)

Vegas Picks: BUF -12.5

Goldie’s Take: Bills Win 33-20

Week 9 was one of the wackiest weeks that the NFL has seen in a long time, and the Bills losing to the Jags was a perfect example of that. Before last week’s anomaly, Josh Allen was playing at an elite MVP-like level. I believe things come back down to earth in this divisional matchup. Bills get back to their winning ways and cruise past the Mike White led Jets.

 

Jacksonville Jaguars (2-6) @ Indianapolis Colts (4-5) 

Vegas Picks: IND -10

Goldie’s Take: Colts Win 34-28

Say what you want about Carson Wentz and the Colts, but they have scored 30+ points in four straight contests. The Colts defense has stepped up big time with seven INTs in their past four games. Speaking of defenses stepping up… the Jags defense held the mighty Buffalo Bills to just six points last week. SIX! And the Bills had had the highest scoring offense in the league heading into last week. Who in the world saw that coming??? I don’t think the Jags defense can perform consistently like that, however expect T-Law and the Jags to keep this one close. Colts get the divisional win in a venue call!

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-2) @ Washington Football Team (2-6)

Vegas Picks: TB -9.5

Goldie’s Take: Buccaneers Win 34-20

What happened to the so-called great defense Washington was supposed to have? After all of the offseason hype that they received, the No Names rank in the bottom five of the league in points allowed and passing yards allowed. Not to mention their offense has been a disaster this season. Now this week they’re challenged with facing a rested GOAT? (The Bucs had their bye last week.) Bucs cruise to victory in the nation’s capital. 

 

Atlanta Falcons (4-4) @ Dallas Cowboys (6-2)

Vegas Picks: DAL -8

Goldie’s Take: Cowboys Win 28-23

Expecting the Cowboys to put that ugly terrible performance they had last week behind them. I mean what was that?? After six consecutive weeks of high level football, they find themselves down 30-0 to an average Denver Broncos team. It was fluke. On the other side, Atlanta enters this one after a nice road upset in New Orleans. I think Atlanta is better than most give them credit but I still don’t expect them to pull off two road upsets in a row. Dallas takes care of business at home, How ‘Bout Dem Cowboys!

 

Carolina Panthers (4-5) @ Arizona Cardinals (8-1)

Vegas Picks: ARI -10.5

Goldie’s Take: Cardinals Win 38-27

We will have to wait at least one more week to see the return of Cam Newton in a Panthers uniform, until then backup QB PJ Walker will get the start. Too bad it’s against arguably the best team in football this season. It doesn’t matter what the league has thrown at them, the Cardinals have just found ways to win. Bottom line, they win games. This week at home against a backup QB led Panthers, expect that trend to continue. Arizona sails past big Cats to improve to 9-1. 

 

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Seattle Seahawks (3-5) @ Green Bay Packers (7-2)

Vegas Picks: GB -3.5

Goldie’s Take: Packers Win 31-30

Both of these squads get back their superstar quarterback’s this week in what has been widely considered the game of the week. Upset of the week committee took a long gander at this one, but in the end couldn’t pull the trigger to bet against Aaron at home. That being said, Russell and the Seahawks do their best work when the pressure is at its highest, and sitting at 3-5 they can definitely start to feel the heat. An upset wouldn’t shock me, but safer play is to pick Pack to win a tight one in Lambeau. 

 

Minnesota Vikings (3-5) @ Los Angeles Chargers (5-3)

Vegas Picks: LAC -3

Goldie’s Take: Chargers Win 32-24

Once again Kirk Cousins failed to perform under the bright lights as he was a non-factor in their overtime period against the Ravens last week. On the other hand, the Chargers finally got back to their winning ways with a hard fought win against the Eagles. Justin Herbert should have a field day against this subpar Minnesota defense, plus give me LA with the venue call!

 

Philadelphia Eagles (3-6) @ Denver Broncos (5-4)

Vegas Picks: DEN -1.5

Goldie’s Take: Eagles Win 27-23

The Broncos destroyed the Cowboys last week which nobody saw coming. However, trading their franchise cornerstone Von Miller shows where this team’s direction is truly headed. The Eagles, on the other hand, have bought into Jalen Hurts and are giving him the whole season to get better. The situation for Hurts and the Eagles is perfect. They’re allowing their team to get better and develop together, knowing that they have a slew of draft picks to help improve this team in the offseason. Eagles UPSET the Broncos in the mile high. 

 

Kansas City Chiefs (5-4) @ Las Vegas Raiders (5-3)

Vegas Picks: KC -2.5

Goldie’s Take: Raiders Win 31-28

The AFC West has not gone as everyone has expected through nine weeks, with the Chargers/Raiders at the top and the Chiefs sitting tied for last. However, things have changed and the Chiefs aren’t as high and mighty as they have been in recent memory. They’ve struggled everywhere this season, and a Primetime road date with the Raiders should be no easy task. On the flipside, amidst all of the chaos surrounding the Raiders this year, they have still found ways to win games. Derek Carr has been great, and their defense has been in the top half of the league. Give me Derek Carr and the Raiders in a venue call, and in an UPSET. Al Davis said it best, “Just Win Baby”

 

Goldie’s Best Bets Week 9: The Dolphins…. Win?

Goldie:

All Time Record: 198-97          

Vs. Spread: 144-147-1

 

21-22 Season:  72-42               

Vs. Spread: 55-58-1

 

Week 8 Record : 7-7                 

Vs. Spread: 4-10

 

Guarantee All Time: 13-9       

21-22 Season: 4-4

 

Upset All Time: 12-9              

21-22 Season: 3-5

 

Crazy Uncle Jeff 

All Time: 29-5              

21-22 Season: 13-4       

Week 8: 1-0

 

Goldie’s Guarantee

Minnesota Vikings (3-4) @ Baltimore Ravens (5-2)

Vegas Picks: BAL -6

Goldie’s Take: Ravens Win 37-20

I have never been one to buy into the hype of Kirk Cousins and the Vikings, and after their loss on MNF to the Cooper Rush led Cowboys I somehow have even less faith in them. On the other hand, the Ravens have had to sit for two weeks after their surprising  41-17 blowout loss to division rival Cincinnati. Baltimore is pissed off and should come into this one ready to go. Plus they’re at home, Ravens by multiple scores. I GUARANTEE IT!

 

Goldie’s UPSET of the Week

New England Patriots (4-4) @ Carolina Panthers (4-4)

Vegas Picks: NE -3.5

Goldie’s Take: Panthers Win 27-24

Both of these teams are coming off wins in games where they were underdogs,so they both enter this one with a bit of swagger. For the Panthers, they finally proved they can win a game without Christian McCaffrey. Lucky for Carolina, they probably won’t have to worry about that too much as CMC is expected to play his first game since week 3. CMC’s return and home field advantage will be enough for the Cats to grab the UPSET win against the Pats. 

 

Crazy Uncle Jeff’s Lock of the Week: LV -3

Las Vegas Raiders (5-2) @ New York Giants (2-6)

Vegas Picks: LV -3

Goldie’s Take: Raiders Win 28-23

First the Raiders had all of the Jon Gruden drama, and this week, on a much sadder note, WR Henry Ruggs was charged with a DUI after crashing and killing a 23 year old Nevada native and her dog. Despite the absolute mess that they’ve been off the field, on the field the Raiders are somehow 5-2, and continue to find ways to win. Derek Carr has quietly been one of the best QBs in the league this season, and their defense has been surprisingly strong too. Coming off a bye, Jeffy and I fully expect the Raiders to take care of business at the Meadowlands. 

 

Crazy Uncle Jeff’s Lock of the Week: PIT -6

Chicago Bears (3-5) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (4-3)

Vegas Picks: PIT -6

Goldie’s Take: Steelers Win 23-16

After hours of meticulous studying and research, Crazy Uncle Jeff has concocted a wild two team parlay ending with the Monday Night matchup. Pitt has won three in a row while Bears have lost their last three. Also, Chicago’s defense hasn’t been the same without star LB Khallil Mack on the field. Plus Big Ben is a solid 16-6 all time on MNF. Not to mention Pittsburgh will have home-field for this one. Steelers improve to 5-3 on Monday Night. LOCK IT IN!

 

Rest of Week 9:

 

Atlanta Falcons (3-4) @ New Orleans Saints (5-2)

Vegas Picks: NO -6.5

Goldie’s Take: Falcons Win 30-27

The Saints have had a tough week so far, first they discovered that a torn ACL will keep Jameis Winston out for the season, also it had been learned that Micheal Thomas had a setback with his ankle injury and will also be out for the season. That leaves Taysom Hill (just coming back from injury) or Trevor Siemian to start at quarterback for the Saints. Yes, Siemian had a great showing last week, when he came in for relief of the injured Winston, but I don’t expect that performance to stay consistent. Matty Ice and the Falcons go into the Superdome and UPSET the Saints. 

 

Buffalo Bills (5-2) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (1-6)

Vegas Picks: BUF -14.5

Goldie’s Take: Bills Win 34-17

The Jags let the Geno Smith led Seahawks walk all over them last week, and now they are challenged with facing Josh Allen and the mighty Buffalo Bills. Rookie QB Trevor Lawrence is going to have a tough time moving the ball against a Bills defense that has allowed the fewest points in the NFL this season. I see no reason why Buffalo doesn’t go into Jacksonville and stomp the Jags. After all, nobody circles the wagons quite like the Buffalo Bills. 

 

Cleveland Browns (4-4) @ Cincinnati Bengals (5-3)

Vegas Picks: CIN -2.5

Goldie’s Take: Bengals Win 23-20

Although these teams have similar records, they are on very different sides of the injury spectrum right now. The Browns can’t catch a break with eight players that did not practice on Wednesday. Also they will be without OBJ as he was cut from the team earlier this week. On the other hand, the Bengals only had one player miss practice Wednesday, and they are getting multiple players back from injury this weekend as well. Trust health and home field to put Bengals over Browns this Sunday.  

 

Denver Broncos (4-4) @ Dallas Cowboys (6-1)

Vegas Picks: DAL -10

Goldie’s Take: Cowboys Win 34-23

No Dak, no problem last week as the ‘Boys took care of the Vikings on MNF with Cooper Rush starting under center. This week, the franchise QB will return for a team that is firing on all cylinders right now, winners of six in a row. The Broncos, on the other hand, are trending in the opposite direction, losers of four out of their last five. Also Cowboys are the only team this season to be perfect (7-0) against the spread. These trends continue as Cowboys take care of business in Big D. 

 

Houston Texans (1-7) @ Miami Dolphins (1-7)

Vegas Picks: MIA -6

Goldie’s Take: Dolphins Win 24-21

Snoozefest of the week, both of these teams enter this one on seven game losing streaks. However, both of these teams can finally take a deep breath for a second now that the trade deadline has passed. We can finally say with confidence that Deshaun Watson will not be traded this season. So this results in Miami’s QB Tua Tagovailoa having a nine game tryout to prove he is the Dolphins guy. On the other hand, Tyrod Taylor is set to return for Houston from injury that had him out for several weeks. Taylor is historically money against the Dolphins, posting a 72% completion rating with 10 TDs and 0 INTs. That being said, I still expect home ‘Fins to kick the losing skid. Venue call!

 

Los Angeles Chargers (5-3) @ Philadelphia Eagles (3-5)

Vegas Picks: LAC -2

Goldie’s Take: Chargers Win 28-21

I think recency bias has the Vegas oddsmakers a bit off in this one. Yes, the Chargers just lost to the Pats, and the Eagles murdered the Lions last week, but if you look at the complete body of work the Chargers are clearly the superior football team. I fully expect Justin Herbert and the Bolts to avenge that tough loss they had last week. LA improves to 6-3 with a hard fought road win in Philly. 

 

Green Bay Packers (7-1) @ Kansas City Chiefs (4-4) 

Vegas Picks: KC -7

Goldie’s Take: Chiefs Win 33-24

KC has not lived up to expectations so far this season, sitting at 4-4 and tied for last in the AFC West, Chiefs fans can officially start to feel nervous about this team. However they do catch a big break this Sunday as Packers star QB Aaron Rodgers is out with COVID. It’s Jordan Love time in Packerland and it’ll be very interesting to see how the kid performs. Love and the Pack keep it close for awhile but expect KC to pull away in the end at home. 

 

Arizona Cardinals (7-1) @ San Francisco 49ers (3-4)

Vegas Picks: SF -2.5

Goldie’s Take: Cardinals Win 30-28

The line for this one opened up with the ‘Cards being favored by a few points but it shifted in San Fran’s favor soon after Kyler Murray and Deandre Hopkins were listed as questionable for Sunday’s contest. That’s what this one is going to come down to in my opinion. Zona is better on both sides of the football, and the Niners 3rd worst pass rush could make for a big day for Cards offense. So IF Murray gets the green light and plays on Sunday, expect the Cardinals to pull off the road UPSET in the Bay. 

 

Tennessee Titans (6-2) @ Los Angeles Rams (7-1)

Vegas Picks: LAR -7.5

Goldie’s Take: Rams Win 32-26

This one HAD game of the week written all over it before T’s star RB Derrick Henry suffered a severe injury. With Henry going down, and LA adding Von Miller, things are just trending in the Rams direction for this one. Plus the Rams are at home in primetime. However, do expect Tannehill and the Titans to keep this one competitive. 

 

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